Minnesota Twins Notch 5th Best Home Record for New MLB Stadiums in Modern Era
While the ultimate success or failure of the Minnesota Twins’ first season at Target Field will be determined in the coming days in the playoffs, ownership – and those who backed the publicly funded stadium – can point to some short-term success, according to at least one metric.
A Smart Politics analysis of Major League Baseball team records finds that the Twins’ 53-28 record (.654) at home during the 2010 season is the fifth best home winning percentage among the 20 MLB franchises who have opened up new stadiums over the past 21 years.
Despite sputtering to the finish, losing three of four to Toronto in the final homestand of the season, only four other teams have fared better in their first season in a new stadium in the modern era.
The New York Yankees lead the way with a 57-24 record (.704) during their 2009 campaign in the new Yankee Stadium, followed by the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field in 1996 (56-25; .691), the Cleveland Indians at Jacobs Field during the strike-shortened 1994 season (35-16; .686), and the San Francisco Giants at Pacific Bell Park in 2000 (55-26; .679).
The Twins’ stellar home record in 2010 helped them notch the second best record among American League division winners, and thus earn home-field advantage during the division playoffs that begin on Wednesday (hosting the AL Wild Card, the New York Yankees).
Best Home Record in First Year of New MLB Stadium, 1989-2010
Rank
|
Team
|
Field
|
Year
|
Record
|
%
|
1
|
New York Yankees
|
Yankee Stadium
|
2009
|
57-24
|
.704
|
2
|
Atlanta Braves
|
Turner Field
|
1996
|
56-25
|
.691
|
3
|
Cleveland Indians
|
Jacobs Field
|
1994
|
35-16
|
.686
|
4
|
San Francisco Giants
|
Pacific Bell Park
|
2000
|
55-26
|
.679
|
5
|
Minnesota Twins
|
Target Field
|
2010
|
53-28
|
.654
|
6
|
St. Louis Cardinals
|
Busch Stadium
|
2006
|
49-31
|
.613
|
7
|
Chicago White Sox
|
Comiskey Park
|
1991
|
46-35
|
.568
|
7
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
SkyDome
|
1989
|
46-35
|
.568
|
9
|
Detroit Tigers
|
Comerica Park
|
2000
|
43-38
|
.531
|
9
|
Seattle Mariners
|
Safeco Field
|
1999
|
43-38
|
.531
|
9
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
Camden Yards
|
1992
|
43-38
|
.531
|
12
|
San Diego Padres
|
Petco Park
|
2004
|
42-39
|
.519
|
12
|
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Citizens Bank Park
|
2004
|
42-39
|
.519
|
14
|
New York Mets
|
Citi Field
|
2009
|
41-40
|
.506
|
15
|
Texas Rangers
|
The Ballpark in Arlington
|
1994
|
31-32
|
.492
|
16
|
Houston Astros
|
Enron Field
|
2000
|
39-42
|
.481
|
17
|
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
PNC Park
|
2001
|
38-43
|
.469
|
18
|
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Miller Park
|
2001
|
36-45
|
.444
|
19
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
Great American Ball Park
|
2003
|
35-46
|
.432
|
20
|
Washington Nationals
|
Nationals Park
|
2008
|
34-46
|
.425
|
Table compiled by Smart Politics.
A deeper look into the data, however, shows that while the Twins performed well above average in terms of wins and losses compared to other teams on their new home turf (ahem, grass), they only performed slightly better than average when measuring the year-to-year improvement from the previous season.
Minnesota was already a playoff-bound division winner after the 2009 campaign, notching a 49-33 home record, or a .598 winning percentage, so the pieces were already in place for a strong team in 2010.
Overall, the Twins improved by +0.056 percentage points at home from 2009 to 2010, which is good for 8th best among the 20 teams with new stadiums since the late 1980s.
The best year-to-year home record turnaround during this span came from the Baltimore Orioles, improving by 10 games and +.124 percentage points from 1991 (33-48; .407) to their first year at Camden Yards in 1992 (43-38; .531).
Also notching better year-to-year turnarounds in the first year of their new stadiums than the 2010 Twins are the 1994 Cleveland Indians (+.118), the 2009 New York Yankees (+.111), the 2004 San Diego Padres (+.087), the 1996 Atlanta Braves (+.080), the 2000 San Francisco Giants (+.074), and the 2000 Detroit Tigers (+.062).
Still, a new stadium does not guarantee instant success or improvement, as demonstrated by the fact that 9 out of 20 teams actually took a step back during their inaugural campaign in their new stadium. This includes seven teams that had winning home records during the previous year – the last in their old stadium.
Biggest Improvement in New MLB Stadium from Previous Year, 1989-2010
Rank
|
Team
|
Previous
|
%
|
Year 1
|
%
|
Change
|
1
|
Baltimore Orioles
|
33-48
|
.407
|
43-38
|
.531
|
+.124
|
2
|
Cleveland Indians
|
46-35
|
.568
|
35-16
|
.686
|
+.118
|
3
|
New York Yankees
|
48-33
|
.593
|
57-24
|
.704
|
+.111
|
4
|
San Diego Padres
|
35-46
|
.432
|
42-39
|
.519
|
+.087
|
5
|
Atlanta Braves
|
44-28
|
.611
|
56-25
|
.691
|
+.080
|
6
|
San Francisco Giants
|
49-32
|
.605
|
55-26
|
.679
|
+.074
|
7
|
Detroit Tigers
|
38-43
|
.469
|
43-38
|
.531
|
+.062
|
8
|
Minnesota Twins
|
49-33
|
.598
|
53-28
|
.654
|
+.056
|
9
|
Seattle Mariners
|
42-39
|
.519
|
43-38
|
.531
|
+.012
|
9
|
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
37-44
|
.457
|
38-43
|
.469
|
+.012
|
9
|
Toronto Blue Jays
|
45-36
|
.556
|
46-35
|
.568
|
+.012
|
12
|
St. Louis Cardinals
|
50-31
|
.617
|
49-31
|
.613
|
-.004
|
13
|
Cincinnati Reds
|
38-43
|
.469
|
35-46
|
.432
|
-.037
|
14
|
Chicago White Sox
|
49-31
|
.613
|
46-35
|
.568
|
-.045
|
15
|
Washington Nationals
|
40-41
|
.494
|
34-46
|
.425
|
-.069
|
16
|
Milwaukee Brewers
|
42-39
|
.519
|
36-45
|
.444
|
-.075
|
17
|
Philadelphia Phillies
|
49-32
|
.605
|
42-39
|
.519
|
-.086
|
18
|
New York Mets
|
48-33
|
.593
|
41-40
|
.506
|
-.087
|
19
|
Texas Rangers
|
50-31
|
.617
|
31-32
|
.492
|
-.125
|
20
|
Houston Astros
|
50-32
|
.610
|
39-42
|
.481
|
-.129
|
Table compiled by Smart Politics.
Of course, there are other measures of success for the business of sports franchises, such as attendance.
On this metric, the season was an unquestionable success for the Twins, with over 800,000 more fans in attendance this season compared to 2009. Overall, attendance was up 33.4 percent at Target Field from the 2009 final season at the Metrodome.
Drawing 3.2 million fans to Target Field in 2010 made the Twins the third best among the 14 American League teams, up from a fifth place showing for the Twins in 2009 (2.4 million).
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Politics aside, maybe the Boston Red Sox should construct a new stadium to see if that can get them back into the playoffs. Thanks for the good article Eric, and I will be rooting for the Twins to beat the Yankees.