Archive for March 2017
The Waiting Game
Only one Republican has officially filed to challenge Wisconsin U.S. Senator Tammy Baldwin in 2018 – little-known courier John Schiess of Rice Lake, who once won 9.9 percent of the 1984 GOP primary vote in Oregon against Senator Mark Hatfield. However, a bevy of well-known Republicans are currently waiting in the wings considering bids including…Read More
Democrats have fielded at least one bona fide 2018 challenger to Texas U.S. Senator Ted Cruz with three-term Congressman Beto O’Rourke announcing his campaign this week. The party’s three-decade long statewide office drought is well-documented and the GOP currently has an unblemished record in holding U.S. Senate seats in the Lone Star State dating back…Read More
Will Cuomo, Walker, Malloy Extend Gubernatorial Three-Peat Streak?
Governors seeking their third consecutive four-year term have won nine elections in a row since 1994 and 20 of 24 dating back to 1970.Read More
Minnesota Democrats Could Endure 1st Cycle with 2 Open US House Seats
Only 13 Democratic U.S. Representatives in state party history have opted not to run for reelection – no two in the same cycle.Read More
Joe Piscopo and a Brief History of Independent and 3rd Party New Jersey Gubernatorial Candidates
Only one of 210 non-major party candidates for governor have won 10 percent of the vote in state history with just two others receiving five percent.Read More
Chaffetz Loss in 2018 Would Be Biggest US House Upset in Utah History
No Utah U.S. Representative who won their seat by 25+ points has ever been defeated in the subsequent general election.Read More
Orrin Hatch: Lucky 8?
A majority of the 17 seven-term U.S. Senators in history have either retired, resigned, or died in office, but five of the six who ran for reelection were victorious.Read More
The 115th Congress: Feeling Special
Not since before World War II have five U.S. House special elections been conducted during the first six months of a new Congress.Read More
Which 1st Term US Senator Will Lose in 2018?
At least one first-term incumbent has been defeated in 48 of the 52 election cycles during the direct election era.Read More
Can Rob Quist Win Montana’s US House Special Election?
Democrats have won 55 percent of statewide elections in Montana over the last quarter-century, but the party’s 11-cycle losing streak for the state’s at-large U.S. House seat is its longest in history.Read More