Archive for July 2020
What Is the Floor For Ilhan Omar’s Primary Support?
Only six of 290 Minnesota U.S. Representatives since the DFL merger in 1944 failed to win at least 60 percent of the primary vote.Read More
Could the GOP Make Gains in the US House Even If Trump Loses?
It may seem unlikely in 2020, but almost half the cycles in which partisan control of the White House has flipped, the outgoing party still made gains in the lower legislative chamber.Read More
Don’t Sleep On Ohio
Ohio is on the brink of becoming just the third state in history to vote for the winning presidential candidate in 15 consecutive cycles.Read More
Which State Will Be the Most Competitive in the 2020 Presidential Election?
Introducing the Minnesota Historical Election Archive
A Smart Politics companion site two years in the making houses nearly 20,000 searchable election returns – the largest collection of Minnesota election results.Read More
Less than a decade ago, during the 111th Congress, Democrats held a majority of U.S. House seats in the (now very red) states of Arkansas (three of four seats), Indiana (five of nine), Mississippi (three of four), North Dakota (at-large), South Dakota (at-large), Tennessee (five of nine), and West Virginia (two of three). Cumulatively, Democrats…Read More
Closer Than Most
Amy McGrath’s 2.8-point victory over Charles Booker in Kentucky’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary goes down in the books as one of the most narrowly decided for the office in state history. Of the 85 U.S. Senate primaries across all parties since 1914, only three were more competitive (all Democratic): Lois Combs Weinberg’s 0.2-point win against…Read More