The last in a series of election projections, Smart Politics predicts which political party will win control of state legislatures across the Upper Midwest. Democrats are in an advantaged position in most states in each legislative chamber to pick up seats, based on the GOP needing to protect a higher number of vulnerable (open, competitive) districts than the Democrats. Smart Politics projects 3 legislative bodies will switch from Republican to Democratic control.

  • IA State Senate (25-25, DEM tie-breaker): Democrats pick up at least 3 seats, retain control.
  • IA State House (51-49, GOP): Democrats pick up at least 5 seats. Democrats take control from the GOP.
  • MN State Senate (38-29, DFL): DFL picks up at least 2 seats and retain control.
  • MN State House (68-66, GOP): DFL picks up at least 7 seats. DFL takes control from the GOP.
  • SD State Senate (25-10, GOP): Democrats pick up 2 seats. GOP retains control.
  • SD State House (51-19, GOP): Democrats pick up 4 seats. GOP retains control.
  • WI State Senate (19-14, GOP): Democrats pick up 3 seats. Democrats take control from the GOP.
  • WI State Assembly (59-39, GOP): Democrats pick up at least 7 seats. GOP narrowly retains control.
    • Posted in Iowa, Minnesota, MN State House, MN State Senate, South Dakota, Wisconsin

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