Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Jon Tester Hopes to Tap Montana’s Rich History of Split-Ticket Voting
No other state has backed presidential and U.S. Senate nominees from different parties in a majority of election cycles over the last 100+ years.
Read MoreMinnesotans Poised to Vote in Record-Setting US Senate Primary
The general election may be a snoozer, but more Republican and Democratic U.S. Senate candidates will appear on the primary ballot than in any cycle in state history.
Read MoreRally ‘Round the Candidate
Ruben Gallego won Arizona’s Democratic U.S. Senate nomination unopposed on Tuesday night, which has become par for the course for the party in recent decades. Democratic nominees for the office in Arizona have been crowned without opposition on the ballot in five of the last six cycles: Richard Carmona (2012), Ann Kirkpatrick (2016), Mark Kelly…
Read MoreBy How Much Will Amy Klobuchar Outrun the Top of the DFL Ticket?
Klobuchar is Minnesota’s only U.S. Senator to outperform her party’s top of the ticket nominee by 20+ points in both presidential and midterm elections.
Read MoreWill 2024 See A Drop in the Presidential Popular Vote Count?
The country has seen cycle-to-cycle decreases in the number of votes cast in presidential elections a half-dozen times including four outside of major wars.
Read MoreWill Be There Be Any Surprise Competitive States in 2024’s Presidential Election?
Close national elections do not always produce many state contest nail-biters.
Read MoreHow Many States Will Flip in 2024’s Presidential Election?
Each major party flipped states in just two of the last 14 cycles since 1968.
Read MoreWho Are the Democrats Calling for Biden to Step Aside?
One CNN commentator’s math on debate night does not add up.
Read MoreHow Often Do Minnesota Legislative Specials Determine Partisan Control of a Chamber?
November’s SD 45 contest will be the fourth time since 1973 in which party control is on the line in a special state house or senate election.
Read MoreMultiple Records Set in Nevada’s US Senate Primary
Jacky Rosen gathers unprecedented support and Sam Brown wins against a record-tying field.
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