Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Rally ‘Round the Candidate
Ruben Gallego won Arizona’s Democratic U.S. Senate nomination unopposed on Tuesday night, which has become par for the course for the party in recent decades. Democratic nominees for the office in Arizona have been crowned without opposition on the ballot in five of the last six cycles: Richard Carmona (2012), Ann Kirkpatrick (2016), Mark Kelly…
Read MoreBy How Much Will Amy Klobuchar Outrun the Top of the DFL Ticket?
Klobuchar is Minnesota’s only U.S. Senator to outperform her party’s top of the ticket nominee by 20+ points in both presidential and midterm elections.
Read MoreWill 2024 See A Drop in the Presidential Popular Vote Count?
The country has seen cycle-to-cycle decreases in the number of votes cast in presidential elections a half-dozen times including four outside of major wars.
Read MoreWill Be There Be Any Surprise Competitive States in 2024’s Presidential Election?
Close national elections do not always produce many state contest nail-biters.
Read MoreHow Many States Will Flip in 2024’s Presidential Election?
Each major party flipped states in just two of the last 14 cycles since 1968.
Read MoreWho Are the Democrats Calling for Biden to Step Aside?
One CNN commentator’s math on debate night does not add up.
Read MoreHow Often Do Minnesota Legislative Specials Determine Partisan Control of a Chamber?
November’s SD 45 contest will be the fourth time since 1973 in which party control is on the line in a special state house or senate election.
Read MoreMultiple Records Set in Nevada’s US Senate Primary
Jacky Rosen gathers unprecedented support and Sam Brown wins against a record-tying field.
Read MoreHow Many Low Water Marks Will West Virginia Democrats Reach in 2024?
The 2020 cycle saw the party turn in century-plus worst showings for six statewide offices.
Read MoreWill the 119th Congress Shed Even More Split US Senate Delegations?
Come next January there could be a record low six or fewer states whose U.S. Senators do not share the same partisan affiliation.
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