Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Will Regional Battleground States Cluster as a Bloc in 2024?
A historical look at this cycle’s Magnificent 7.
Read MoreHow Many US Senators Will Join the 4-Timers Club?
Only one state has never elected a U.S. Senator elected to four terms.
Read MoreHow Many Statewide Elections Will Democrats Win in North Carolina?
Will Josh Stein prove to have stronger coattails than the top of the ticket?
Read MoreWill Kelly Ayotte Match Chris Sununu’s Rare Feat?
Sununu is the only New Hampshire Republican since the Gilded Age to win the governorship whilst his party simultaneously lost all federal races up and down the ballot.
Read MoreHow Many US Senate Seats Will Flip in November?
The 2024 cycle could become just the third in history with partisan control changing in just one state.
Read MoreWill Dan Osborn Notch a Nebraska US Senate Electoral Record?
George Norris set a high bar for independent and third party U.S. Senate candidacies in a state that otherwise has a paltry record for non-major party candidates for the office.
Read MoreIn How Many States Will Harris Fail to Win 30 Percent of the Vote?
Democratic futility in statewide presidential elections has outpaced that by the GOP by more than four to one across the nation’s 50 states since 1964.
Read MoreThe Nine Lives of Don Bacon
Nebraska’s 2nd CD U.S. Representative has eked out each of his four general election wins by less than five points – most in state history.
Read MoreIlhan Omar Records Another Historically Close Primary Win
Only six of the 162 renomination bids by DFL U.S. Representatives have been decided by less than 30 points – Omar now owns three of them.
Read MoreJon Tester Hopes to Tap Montana’s Rich History of Split-Ticket Voting
No other state has backed presidential and U.S. Senate nominees from different parties in a majority of election cycles over the last 100+ years.
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