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Smart Politics

Political Analysis By and Beyond the Numbers Since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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U.S. Senate

Michigan Poised for Historic US Senate GOP Primary

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 22, 2024 | 6

Michigan Republicans hope to leverage the state’s open seat to end a nine-cycle losing streak in the chamber.

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Ohio US Senate Primaries By the Numbers

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 15, 2024 | 1

Will the Republican nominee receive less than 40 percent of the vote for the fourth time in party history?

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Ted Cruz Sets Texas Primary Record

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 11, 2024 | 3

Cruz received more support than any other major party candidate in a contested Texas U.S. Senate primary.

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A Brief History of Maryland Governors Running for US Senate

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 14, 2024 | 3

Larry Hogan makes an 11th hour U.S. Senate bid in hopes of becoming the first sitting or former governor from the Old Line State to win election to the Senate in nearly 80 years.

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A Brief History of New Jersey Democratic US Senate Primaries

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 29, 2024 | 3

The 2024 race may end of up as one of the most competitive, with one of the largest fields, in state party history.

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The Most Competitive States for US Senate Elections Since 1990

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 1, 2024 | 5
Image of US Senate Seal

Three of the top five states host contests in 2024.

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How Would Eric Hovde Fare in a Second US Senate Bid?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | December 11, 2023 | 2

Losing candidates in the Badger State have failed in 20 of 21 subsequent attempts at a U.S. Senate seat.

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Will Any Democratic US Senators Lose Reelection While Biden Carries Their State?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 29, 2023 | 4
Image of US Senate Seal

Since 1972, all but two Democratic incumbents have been victorious if their party’s nominee carried the state at the top of the ticket.

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It’s Beginning to Look a Lot Like D.C.

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 12, 2023 | 1

In 2024 there will be uniform partisan control of governorships and both U.S. Senate seats in 36 states – up from 28 states just seven years ago.

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Republicans Seek Rare Back-to-Back US Senate Wins in Three States in 2024

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 15, 2023 | 3

GOP wins in Montana, West Virginia, or Wisconsin would give the party rare wins in two consecutive elections to the nation’s upper legislative chamber.

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Minnesota Historical Election Archive

Explore over 160 years of election results in Minnesota

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