Smart Politics will continue to monitor and update the official Iowa Caucus results tonight. These are raw vote numbers provided by reported precincts, not a scientific random sample:

7:41 p.m. (17% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 34.0%, Clinton 31.9%, Obama 31.3%

7:45 p.m. (21% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 33.4%, Clinton 32.2%, Obama 31.6%

7:52 p.m. (28% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Edwards 32.5%, Obama 32.4, Clinton 32.2%

7:53 p.m. FOX News has just projected Mike Huckabee is the winner of the Republican caucses.

7:55 p.m. Mitt Romney, interviewed by FOX News’ Chris Wallace congratulated Mike Huckabee on his performance today. Romney says he is happy if he gets the gold or silver medal today.

8:00 p.m. NBC News has just called the GOP race for Huckabee.

8:02 p.m. (39% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.3, Edwards 32.1%, Clinton 31.7%

8:05 p.m. (44% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.5, Edwards 32.0%, Clinton 31.7%

8:10 p.m. (50% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 33.9, Edwards 31.8%, Clinton 31.6%

8:15 p.m. (55% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 34.4, Edwards 31.6%, Clinton 31.2%

8:21 p.m. (66% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.0, Edwards 31.2%, Clinton 31.0%

8:27 p.m. (72% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 35.2, Edwards 31.1%, Clinton 30.8%

8:28 p.m. FOX News has just projected Barack Obama to win the Democratic caucuses.

8:29 p.m. NBC News has also now projected Obama the winner.

8:37 p.m. (83% of precincts reporting)
Democrats: Obama 36.6, Edwards 30.3%, Clinton 30.1%

8:42 p.m. (65% of precincts reporting)
Republicans: Huckabee 34%, Romney 25%, Thompson 14%, McCain 13%, Paul 10%, Giuliani 4%, Hunter 0%

8:45 p.m. No less than 3 commentators on MSNBC and Fox News tonight, including the esteemed Tom Brokaw, have compared Mike Huckabee’s win tonight with “Pat Robertson’s victory” in 1988. Reminder: Pat Robertson did NOT win Iowa in 1988. He came in second, but exceeded expectations by beating George H. W. Bush. “Expectations,” it has been said, are what will drive headlines on tonight’s events — and perhaps they can also rewrite history.

Leave a Comment