6:00 p.m. (4% reporting)
Clinton = 59%
Obama = 41%

MSNBC, Fox News, and CNN are stating the race is “too early to call.”

6:05 p.m. (5% reporting)
Clinton = 59%
Obama = 41%

6:12 p.m. (8% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

6:19 p.m. A Clinton win in Indiana, and a strong showing in North Carolina, will certainly keep her in the race for the nomination. North Carolina is one of the last states that Obama is favored to win. Clinton will win big in West Virginia next Tuesday and will win by a very large margin in Kentucky on May 20th. The next opportunity for the Clinton train to lose momentum will be in Oregon on May 20th.

6:22 p.m. (12% reporting)
Clinton = 58%
Obama = 42%

6:27 p.m. (16% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

6:33 p.m. (18% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

6:38 p.m. (21% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

6:43 p.m. (25% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

With a quarter of the vote counted in Indiana, Clinton is maintaining a double-digit lead. Only one pollster, SurveyUSA had Clinton winning the Hoosier State by double digits.

6:54 p.m. (32% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

7:00 p.m. (35% reporting)
Clinton = 57%
Obama = 43%

7:10 p.m. (39% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

7:18 p.m. (42% reporting)
Clinton = 56%
Obama = 44%

7:23 p.m. CBS News has just called Indiana for Hillary Clinton. If that holds, Indiana will be the 16th state carried by Clinton, plus Florida, Michigan (where Obama’s name was not on the ballot), and American Samoa.

7:28 p.m. (50% reporting)
Clinton = 55%
Obama = 45%

7:33 p.m. Britt Hume of Fox News just stated that although they cannot call Indiana yet, Clinton “probably has won.”

7:35 p.m. (52% reporting)
Clinton = 54%
Obama = 46%

7:43 p.m. (56% reporting)
Clinton = 54%
Obama = 46%

8:00 p.m. (65% reporting)
Clinton = 53%
Obama = 47%

8:12 p.m. MSNBC now classifies Indiana as “too close to call.” None of the cable networks have followed CBS and called the state for Clinton.

8:14 p.m. In Obama’s victory speech in North Carolina, he states it “appears” Clinton has won Indiana.

8:31 p.m. (73% reporting)
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 48%

8:52 p.m. (78% reporting)
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 48%

9:03 p.m. (81% reporting)
Clinton = 52%
Obama = 48%

As the percentage point advantage of counted votes declines for Obama in North Carolina and Clinton in Indiana, only the Hoosier State is in doubt. Should Obama win North Carolina by less than double digits, that will be lost in the media focus (and rightfully so) on what appears to be a very close race in Indiana.

9:43 p.m. During the first ten minutes of her speech, Clinton referred to the price of gas three times – a not so subtle reference to the difference between her and Obama; Clinton and John McCain support ‘gas tax relief,’ while Obama sees it as political pandering.

9:50 p.m. Clinton has peppered her speech with several references equating herself with Obama – that they are both fighting for change, that they are each winning states. Clinton is clearly trying to paint a picture that the race for the nominee is also ‘equal’ – thus legitimating her staying in the race through June 3rd.

12:10 a.m. (99% reporting)
Clinton = 51%
Obama = 49%

Clinton is declared the ‘apparent winner’ of the Indiana primary by NBC News.

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