Archive for July 2024
Rally ‘Round the Candidate
Ruben Gallego won Arizona’s Democratic U.S. Senate nomination unopposed on Tuesday night, which has become par for the course for the party in recent decades. Democratic nominees for the office in Arizona have been crowned without opposition on the ballot in five of the last six cycles: Richard Carmona (2012), Ann Kirkpatrick (2016), Mark Kelly…
Read MoreBy How Much Will Amy Klobuchar Outrun the Top of the DFL Ticket?
Klobuchar is Minnesota’s only U.S. Senator to outperform her party’s top of the ticket nominee by 20+ points in both presidential and midterm elections.
Read MoreWill 2024 See A Drop in the Presidential Popular Vote Count?
The country has seen cycle-to-cycle decreases in the number of votes cast in presidential elections a half-dozen times including four outside of major wars.
Read MoreWill Be There Be Any Surprise Competitive States in 2024’s Presidential Election?
Close national elections do not always produce many state contest nail-biters.
Read MoreHow Many States Will Flip in 2024’s Presidential Election?
Each major party flipped states in just two of the last 14 cycles since 1968.
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