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Smart Politics

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Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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National Politics

How Many US Senators Will Join the 4-Timers Club?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 1, 2024 | 6

Only one state has never elected a U.S. Senator elected to four terms.

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How Many US Senate Seats Will Flip in November?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 10, 2024 | 4

The 2024 cycle could become just the third in history with partisan control changing in just one state.

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Will Dan Osborn Notch a Nebraska US Senate Electoral Record?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 3, 2024 | 6

George Norris set a high bar for independent and third party U.S. Senate candidacies in a state that otherwise has a paltry record for non-major party candidates for the office.

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In How Many States Will Harris Fail to Win 30 Percent of the Vote?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 27, 2024 | 2

Democratic futility in statewide presidential elections has outpaced that by the GOP by more than four to one across the nation’s 50 states since 1964.

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The Nine Lives of Don Bacon

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 20, 2024 | 6

Nebraska’s 2nd CD U.S. Representative has eked out each of his four general election wins by less than five points – most in state history.

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Ilhan Omar Records Another Historically Close Primary Win

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 14, 2024 | 2

Only six of the 162 renomination bids by DFL U.S. Representatives have been decided by less than 30 points – Omar now owns three of them.

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Jon Tester Hopes to Tap Montana’s Rich History of Split-Ticket Voting

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 13, 2024 | 5

No other state has backed presidential and U.S. Senate nominees from different parties in a majority of election cycles over the last 100+ years.

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Minnesotans Poised to Vote in Record-Setting US Senate Primary

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 5, 2024 | 4

The general election may be a snoozer, but more Republican and Democratic U.S. Senate candidates will appear on the primary ballot than in any cycle in state history.

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By How Much Will Amy Klobuchar Outrun the Top of the DFL Ticket?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 28, 2024 | 3

Klobuchar is Minnesota’s only U.S. Senator to outperform her party’s top of the ticket nominee by 20+ points in both presidential and midterm elections.

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Will 2024 See A Drop in the Presidential Popular Vote Count?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 22, 2024 | 1

The country has seen cycle-to-cycle decreases in the number of votes cast in presidential elections a half-dozen times including four outside of major wars.

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Minnesota Historical Election Archive

Explore over 160 years of election results in Minnesota

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