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Dean Phillips to Become Just 4th Minnesota US Rep in a Century Not to Seek 4th Term

Will Any Democratic US Senators Lose Reelection While Biden Carries Their State?

Third Party Turnout Strong in Utah’s CD-02 Special

Early(ish)

Party Like It’s 1928

Abigail Spanberger and a History of Women Gubernatorial Candidates in Virginia

Third Parties

Axne Records Rare Plurality Win in Iowa US House Race

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 12, 2018 | 4

The 3rd CD member-elect is just the sixth candidate to win without the support of a majority of voters in the state out of more than 250 U.S. House elections since 1940.

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Alyse Galvin Could Become 1st Woman to Serve As An Independent US Representative

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 12, 2018 | 2

One woman has previously been elected to the chamber as an independent, but never served under that designation.

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Is the Footprint Fading for Minnesota 3rd Party US House Candidates?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 24, 2018 | 2

The frequency of non-major party candidates has declined over the last two decades, although nearly half who run continue to win 5+ percent of the vote.

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Rhode Island On the Verge of Impressive Non-Major Party Gubernatorial Streak

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 11, 2018 | 4

Independent Joe Trillo could make Rhode Island the first state in 75+ years to have non-major party gubernatorial candidates win 20+ percent in three consecutive cycles.

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Jon Tester Eyes Record-Tying Plurality Win in 2018 US Senate Bid

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 3, 2018 | 1

Only one previous senator in history has been elected to the chamber without a majority of the vote three times.

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How Low Will Bruce Rauner Go?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 25, 2018 | 3

Illinois governors have failed to win a majority of the vote in more than half of their reelection bids.

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Don Blankenship’s 3rd Party US Senate Campaign Would Shatter West Virginia Record

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 21, 2018 | 0

Non-major party candidates have left the faintest of footprints in Mountain State U.S. Senate races over the decades.

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How Big of a Footprint Will Sam McCann Leave in Illinois’ 2018 Gubernatorial Race?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 20, 2018 | 2

Less than 1 in 10 third party or independent candidates for governor in Illinois history have won five percent of the vote.

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Craig O’Dear Launches Improbable Independent Bid in Missouri’s 2018 US Senate Race

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 20, 2018 | 2

Only one non-major party U.S. Senate candidate in Missouri history has won five percent of the vote.

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Jill Stein and the 2016 Popular Vote Revisited

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 19, 2018 | 4

The numbers do not add up to support the claim that Russian efforts to sour voters on Hillary Clinton and vote for Stein flipped three key states to Trump.

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