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Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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One and Done? George Santos and a Review of 1-Term New York US Representatives

A Look Behind Indiana’s 2024 GOP US Senate Primary

Tom Emmer Is 4th Minnesotan to Serve In US House Leadership Post

Notable Numbers (So Far) from the 118th Congress Speaker Balloting

Kentucky Republicans Poised for Record Gubernatorial Primary Field

Kyrsten Sinema and a Brief History of US Senators Placing 3rd (Or Worse)

Third Parties

Rhode Island On the Verge of Impressive Non-Major Party Gubernatorial Streak

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 11, 2018 | 4

Independent Joe Trillo could make Rhode Island the first state in 75+ years to have non-major party gubernatorial candidates win 20+ percent in three consecutive cycles.

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Jon Tester Eyes Record-Tying Plurality Win in 2018 US Senate Bid

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 3, 2018 | 1

Only one previous senator in history has been elected to the chamber without a majority of the vote three times.

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How Low Will Bruce Rauner Go?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 25, 2018 | 3

Illinois governors have failed to win a majority of the vote in more than half of their reelection bids.

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Don Blankenship’s 3rd Party US Senate Campaign Would Shatter West Virginia Record

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 21, 2018 | 0

Non-major party candidates have left the faintest of footprints in Mountain State U.S. Senate races over the decades.

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How Big of a Footprint Will Sam McCann Leave in Illinois’ 2018 Gubernatorial Race?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 20, 2018 | 2

Less than 1 in 10 third party or independent candidates for governor in Illinois history have won five percent of the vote.

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Craig O’Dear Launches Improbable Independent Bid in Missouri’s 2018 US Senate Race

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 20, 2018 | 2

Only one non-major party U.S. Senate candidate in Missouri history has won five percent of the vote.

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Jill Stein and the 2016 Popular Vote Revisited

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 19, 2018 | 4

The numbers do not add up to support the claim that Russian efforts to sour voters on Hillary Clinton and vote for Stein flipped three key states to Trump.

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Number of Plurality-Winning US Senators Nears Century-Long High

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 17, 2018 | 4

Doug Jones’ victory last month brings the total of senators elected to the chamber with a plurality of the vote to 14 – tied for the most in 95+ years.

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Jim Bennett Notches 2nd Best 3rd Party Showing in Contested Utah US House Race in 85 Years

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 9, 2017 | 0

Only one Utahan has won more support in a race involving both major party nominees out of 127 U.S. House third party and independent candidates to appear on the ballot since 1932.

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What Size Footprint Will Jim Bennett Leave on Utah’s 3rd CD Special Election?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 16, 2017 | 1

Only one third party or independent Utah U.S. House candidate has won 10+ percent of the vote in 80+ years in a race with both major party nominees on the ballot.

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