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Smart Politics

Political Analysis By and Beyond the Numbers Since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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Posts Tagged ‘news’

By How Much Will Amy Klobuchar Outrun the Top of the DFL Ticket?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 28, 2024 | 3

Klobuchar is Minnesota’s only U.S. Senator to outperform her party’s top of the ticket nominee by 20+ points in both presidential and midterm elections.

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Will 2024 See A Drop in the Presidential Popular Vote Count?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 22, 2024 | 1

The country has seen cycle-to-cycle decreases in the number of votes cast in presidential elections a half-dozen times including four outside of major wars.

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Will Be There Be Any Surprise Competitive States in 2024’s Presidential Election?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 15, 2024 | 5

Close national elections do not always produce many state contest nail-biters.

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How Many States Will Flip in 2024’s Presidential Election?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 8, 2024 | 2

Each major party flipped states in just two of the last 14 cycles since 1968.

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Who Are the Democrats Calling for Biden to Step Aside?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 30, 2024 | 7

One CNN commentator’s math on debate night does not add up.

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How Often Do Minnesota Legislative Specials Determine Partisan Control of a Chamber?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 23, 2024 | 2

November’s SD 45 contest will be the fourth time since 1973 in which party control is on the line in a special state house or senate election.

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Multiple Records Set in Nevada’s US Senate Primary

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 16, 2024 | 1

Jacky Rosen gathers unprecedented support and Sam Brown wins against a record-tying field.

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How Many Low Water Marks Will West Virginia Democrats Reach in 2024?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 10, 2024 | 6

The 2020 cycle saw the party turn in century-plus worst showings for six statewide offices.

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Will the 119th Congress Shed Even More Split US Senate Delegations?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 3, 2024 | 6
Image of US Senate Seal

Come next January there could be a record low six or fewer states whose U.S. Senators do not share the same partisan affiliation.

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Will Joe Manchin Run for Governor Again?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 28, 2024 | 8

Only two ex-governors have attempted a comeback in state history.

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