Smart Politics: Political Analysis By and Beyond the Numbers

Iowa Democratic Party logo
|

Could Iowa Democrats Win 2026’s Gubernatorial and US Senate Races?

Iowa has had open seats for governor and the U.S. Senate in just two of the previous 30 cycles in which both offices have been on the ballot since 1914.
Photo of Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton
|

Ken Paxton and a Review of Texas US Senate Primary Runoffs

Paxton received the largest support in a Texas U.S. Senate runoff for a second place primary finisher.
Kentucky Republican Party logo
|

No Mitch, No Problem: Kentucky Republicans Set Party Record

A record number of Republicans are vying for their party’s U.S. Senate nomination this cycle.
Official seal of the U.S. House of Representatives
|

Is the US House In Its Unstable Era?

Partisan control of the chamber could flip for the third time in five cycles for the first time in 75 years.
Wisconsin Democratic Party logo
|

Will Democrats Flip a US House Seat in Wisconsin in 2026?

Wisconsin Democrats have netted an average of one seat per cycle across the 23 midterm elections held during Republican presidencies.