Archive for May 2008
Clinton Retains Advantage Over McCain, Obama in Key Battleground States
Hillary Clinton’s few remaining arguments for why she should be the Democratic nominee include: 1) She will have won more popular votes during the Democratic primaries and caucuses (the “Al Gore 2000” argument); this assumes Puerto Rico pays off big…
Read MoreObama Sustains Advantage Over McCain in Iowa
The latest SurveyUSA poll of 600 registered voters in Iowa still finds Barack Obama on his way to taking back the Hawkeye State for the Democratic Party in 2008. Obama leads John McCain 47 to 38 percent in the poll…
Read MoreKentucky, Oregon Wrap Up: Smart Politics Projections Hit the Target
As Barack Obama wrapped up the pledged delegate war several weeks ago, the remaining battle for the democratic nomination had two remaining and interrelated battlefronts: momentum and the popular vote. Hillary Clinton’s aim since mid-March has thus not simply been…
Read MoreLive Blog: Oregon Primary
10:15 p.m. All three networks have called Oregon for Barack Obama. This is the 28th state Obama has carried, plus D.C., the Texas caucuses, Guam, and the Virgin Islands. 10:20 p.m. (29% reporting) Obama = 60% Clinton = 40% Obama…
Read MoreLive Blog: Kentucky Primary
5:50 p.m. (9% reporting) Clinton = 50% Obama = 46% Over 80 percent of the vote that has reported in is from Jefferson County – home to Louisville – one of the few locales in Kentucky where Obama is expected…
Read MoreKY, OR Primary: Live Blog Tonight
Smart Politics will blog live Tuesday night as the primary results from Kentucky and Oregon come in. Smart Politics will pay particular attention to the voter turnout and Clinton victory margin in Kentucky, to determine whether or not she is…
Read MoreSuffolk Poll: Clinton Within 4 Points in Oregon
A Suffolk University poll of 600 likely voters in Oregon this weekend (May 17-18) now measures the race between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton to be within 4 points. This echoes the findings of American Research Group polls last week…
Read MorePolls in KY, OR: Someone Forgot to Tell the Voters ‘It’s Over’
Although the media, several prominent Democrats, and even some pollsters (Rasmussen) called the Democratic race ‘over’ even after Hillary Clinton’s 41-point blowout victory in West Virginia, Democratic voters are apparently saying otherwise. Several polls point to 60-plus percent of Democratic…
Read MoreIowans Outlook on America Bleakest in 10 Years
A new Rasmussen poll of 500 likely Iowa voters, conducted May 13th, finds only 11 percent of Iowans believe the country is heading in the right direction. An astounding 84 percent believe it is off on the wrong track—more than…
Read MoreThe Numbers: West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon and Beyond
While there has been no doubt for more than a month that Barack Obama would win the pledged delegate count in the race for the Democratic nomination, a higher than projected turnout in West Virginia’s primary padded Hillary Clinton’s victory…
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