Since the turn of the 20th Century, governors-turned-U.S. Senators outnumber U.S. Senators-turned-governors by more than 7:1
As the eyes on the election calendar gradually turn to 2022, several U.S. Senators have already announced they are not running for reelection – Republicans Richard Shelby of Alabama, Richard Burr of North Carolina, Rob Portman of Ohio, and Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania.
Those senators are not expected to run for other offices, but there is some talk that a few ex- or sitting U.S. Senators may run for governor next November.
For example, there is speculation that former GOP New Hampshire U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte will run to succeed Governor Chris Sununu if he chooses not to seek a fourth term.
In Nebraska, Governor Pete Ricketts is term-limited and Republican Senator Deb Fischer is reported to be currently weighing a run for his open seat.
Over the last two decades, however, only a few sitting U.S. Senators have won gubernatorial elections – Alaska Republican Frank Murkowski in 2002, New Jersey Democrat Jon Corzine in 2005, and Kansas Republican Sam Brownback in 2010.
Just one sitting senator lost a general election for the office during this span: Louisiana Republican David Vitter in 2015.
A few other ex-senators have had success in winning gubernatorial elections during the 21st Century including Republican-turned-independent Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island in 2010, DFLer Mark Dayton of Minnesota in 2010, and Ohio Republican Mike DeWine (pictured at top) in 2018.
Former senators Gordon Humphrey of New Hampshire (2000, 2002) and Mark Begich of Alaska (2018) were not so fortunate in their gubernatorial bids.
Over the decades, however, it has been much more common for sitting and former governors to later serve in the U.S. Senate than the reverse.
This may not be surprising at first blush because there are, of course, twice as many seats in the nation’s upper legislative chamber than gubernatorial seats – as well as no term limits for the former.
The numbers are quite striking.
Since 1900, just 21 sitting or former U.S. Senators have been elected governor while 153 sitting or former governors were elected or appointed to the U.S. Senate.
[An additional six officeholders served as governor, then U.S. Senator, and then as governor again for a subsequent stint].
In addition to the recent examples listed above, other notable U.S. Senators to win gubernatorial elections include one from a third party (Minnesota Farmer-Laborite Elmer Benson), a Republican senator turned independent governor (Connecticut’s Lowell Weicker), and a former U.S. Senate Majority Leader (Arizona Democrat Ernest McFarland).
By contrast, in just the first two decades of the 21st Century alone, there have already been 19 sitting or former governors who were sworn into the U.S. Senate.
Thirteen of these are currently in office: Delaware Democrat Tom Carper, North Dakota Republican John Hoeven, Virginia Democrats Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, Idaho Republican Jim Risch, West Virginia Democrat Joe Manchin, Maine independent Angus King, South Dakota Republican Mike Rounds, New Hampshire Democrats Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan, Florida Republican Rick Scott, Utah Republican Mitt Romney (a former Massachusetts governor), and Colorado Democrat John Hickenlooper.
Other sitting and former senators subsequently elected governor since the turn of the 20th Century include Louisiana Democrat Newton Blanchard (in 1904), Wyoming Democrat Joseph Carey (1910), Georgia Democrat Thomas Hardwick (1920), Montana Republican Joseph Dixon (1920), West Virginia Democrat Matthew Neely (1940), Washington Democrat Monrad Wallgren (1944), Vermont Republican Ernest Gibson (1946), South Carolina Democrat James Byrnes (1950), Texas Democrat Price Daniel (1956), Florida Democrat Lawton Chiles (1990), California Republican Pete Wilson (1990), and Idaho Republican Dirk Kempthorne (1998).
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