Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Five’s a Crowd
New Hampshire’s high profile 1st CD race between Republican U.S. Representative Frank Guinta and former Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter includes three other candidates after a state commission ruled last week that independent Shawn O’Connor is allowed on the ballot, joining Libertarian Robert Lombardo and independent Brendan Kelly. With five candidate choices, the 1st CD contest will…
Read MoreDéjà Vu: Ohio’s 2016 US House Elections
Every Ohio U.S. Representative is poised to win reelection in November – the first time incumbents would sweep the state in back-to-back cycles in Ohio history.
Read MoreThe 7-Cycle Itch: Will Pennsylvania Flip in 2016?
Since 1932, 18 of the 44 six-cycle partisan statewide winning streaks in presidential elections were halted in the next cycle; however, each ended by supporting a nominee who won in an Electoral College landslide.
Read MoreFrank Guinta Wins Renomination with Record Low Support for New Hampshire US Representative
Only one Granite State U.S. Representative has lost renomination since 1914, and even he received more support than Guinta on Tuesday.
Read MoreKelly Ayotte Faces Record Number of Primary Challengers in New Hampshire
No U.S. Senator from the Granite State has drawn more than two primary challengers over the last century; Ayotte faces four on Tuesday.
Read MoreJoe Miller and a Brief History of Retread Alaska US Senate Candidates
Miller is one of three retread candidates on the 2016 U.S. Senate ballot in Alaska this cycle.
Read MoreStrike Three
A recent Smart Politics report highlighted various U.S. House districts in which voters will have the choice of only one major party candidate on the 2016 general election ballot. Since redistricting and reapportionment in 2012, there have been six districts across the country to feature only one major party nominee in all three cycles. Democrats…
Read More1 in 7 US House Races Have Only One Major Party Candidate on November Ballot
New Hampshire has both the largest (179 in a row) and longest (since 1856) streaks of fielding U.S. House nominees from both major parties; Minnesota, Idaho, and Montana also have streaks north of 100.
Read MoreA Party Divided? Republican US Senators Setting Record Lows in Primaries
GOP U.S. Senators continue to win renomination, but many state party records are falling each cycle for the worst ever showings by a Republican incumbent.
Read MorePaul Le Page and a Brief History of Early Gubernatorial Exits in Maine
No governor from the Pine Tree State has ever resigned due to controversy.
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