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Archive for September 2009

How Competitive Can Eva Ng Make the 2009 St. Paul Mayoral General Election?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 17, 2009 | 0

Barack Obama won all 104 precincts in St. Paul, winning 75.6 percent of the vote and notching a 53.2-point margin of victory over McCain city-wide

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Red States Have Higher Crime Rates Than Blue States

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 16, 2009 | 48

Red states across the nation have both higher violent and property crime rates than blue states, across several measures of partisanship

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Minnesota Crime Rate Falls to Lowest Level Since the Moon Landing

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 15, 2009 | 3

Uniform Crime Reports data released this week finds the Gopher State’s overall crime rate falling to its lowest level since 1969

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What Are the Odds of Incumbents Winning All 8 of Minnesota’s U.S. House Races in 2010?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 14, 2009 | 0

Out of the 32 elections in which each of Minnesota’s U.S. Representatives have appeared on the general election ballot, incumbents swept their contests in just 19 instances, or 59 percent of the time

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Are Minnesota’s U.S. House Seats Safer for Incumbents Today Than in the Past?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 11, 2009 | 0

In the current census period, 2002-2008, Minnesota’s U.S. House incumbents have been reelected at a rate of 93.1 percent, or 27 of 29 contests

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National Radio Host Mike Gallagher Fundraises for Rep. Joe Wilson

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 10, 2009 | 4

Gallagher called Representative Wilson a “hero” in standing up to the President and vowed he could raise $100,000 in 30 minutes from his listeners

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How Big is the Incumbency Advantage in Minnesota’s U.S. House Races?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 10, 2009 | 0

425 Minnesota U.S. House incumbents have won their general election matchups, 62 were defeated, and an additional 14 failed to win their party’s nomination

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Michele Bachmann: History Is On Her Side

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 9, 2009 | 6

For 2-term incumbents, like Congresswoman Bachmann, 88.2 percent have won a third consecutive term, or 75 out of 85 Representatives

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In Search of Minnesota’s Bellwether House District(s)

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 8, 2009 | 2

For better or for worse, during the past decade Minnesota has developed a national reputation for being a bit of an ‘oddball’ state – politically, that is. And, at first blush, the Gopher State is an easy target for even…

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Minnesotans Still Divided Over Pawlenty; Culver and Doyle Ratings in 30s

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 7, 2009 | 3

While residents of Iowa and Wisconsin are speaking in loud, disapproving voices over the performance of their respective Democratic governors, Minnesotans are still basically split down the middle over how they rate the performance of Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty. The…

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