Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Why John Edwards Can Win The Iowa Caucus
Despite leading in just 1 of the last 41 public polls conducted of likely Democratic caucus attendees in Iowa since late August 2007, there is reason for John Edwards to be optimistic about his chances of winning the caucuses Thursday…
Read MoreClinton On Top In 2 of 3 Iowa Polls Released Today
Is the ‘Clinton machine’ at last paying dividends in Iowa? The answer to that question is still unknown according to three new polls of Iowans released today. Clinton’s strongest support in Iowa to date has come from the Democratic base,…
Read MoreThe Polls Tell Us…It’s A Toss-Up in Iowa
With at least one poll of Iowans being released every day, the results tell us that while no candidate is the definitive frontrunner, certain patterns have emerged. With different candidates leading in different polls, both the Democratic and GOP races…
Read MoreFive Days Out: Romney Back On Top in New Iowa Poll
With just five days remaining until the Iowa caucuses, Republican Mitt Romney is now back on top, according to a brand new poll released today by American Research Group (ARG). The ARG survey of 600 likely GOP caucus voters, conducted…
Read MoreThe Partisan Divide in Iowa
A new Bloomberg / LA Times poll of likely caucus voters in Iowa demonstrates quite clearly how the view of the country is affected by one’s political lens. While the outlook on the GOP side is not exceedingly optimistic, it…
Read MoreThe Bhutto Assassination, Foreign Policy and the ’08 Campaign
The assassination today of ex-Pakistan Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto in Rawalpindi provides a newfound emphasis (temporarily, at least) on the importance of foreign policy and the war on terrorism for the next U.S. president. The United States’ fragile relationship with…
Read MoreARG Iowa Poll: Clinton Up 14; 3-Way GOP Race
As further proof of how things can change in Iowa at the drop of a hat, the latest polling by American Research Group (ARG) finds the former 3-way Democratic race now showing a 14-point Hillary Clinton advantage, and the former…
Read MoreRon Paul Meets the Press
During NBC’s Meet the Press on Sunday morning, Ron Paul was the latest recipient of host Tim Russert’s grilling of presidential candidates. Paul is currently polling around 5 percent in national polls on the GOP side, and is flirting with…
Read MoreTom Tancredo’s Exit and the Immigration Legacy
Republican Congressman Tom Tancredo’s departure from the GOP race on Thursday didn’t cause a big ripple on the political scene. But, for a candidate who never polled above 5 percent in any state or national poll other than his home…
Read MoreMcCain Still Top GOP Dog In Battleground States
As tracked here at Smart Politics over the past few months, John McCain continues to prove to be the strongest Republican candidate to defeat the Democrats in 2008. McCain consistently, and by wide margins, polls better than his chief GOP…
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