Pennsylvania
Presidential Battleground States by the Numbers Since 1968
Wisconsin and Pennsylvania lead the way with nine races decided by single-digits over the last 11 presidential election cycles; Missouri and Oregon are next with eight
Read MoreNancy Pelosi 1 of 8 House Democrats to Win by Bigger Margin in 2010 than 2008
Only 3 percent of 230 Democratic U.S. House incumbents on the ballot increased their margin of victory in 2010 compared to 2008; Nancy Pelosi had the second largest increase
Read MoreReapportionment Winners and Losers Through the Years
Pennsylvania (-17 seats) and New York (-16 seats) have lost the largest number of seats from their peak U.S. House delegations; the Keystone State is slated to lose a seat again for a 9th consecutive census period
Read MoreThe Top 50 Most Competitive U.S. House Districts in the Nation (2002-2008)
Jim Gerlach’s PA-06 seat is the only U.S. House district in the nation decided by less than 10 points in each of the last four election cycles; Democrats currently hold 35 of the Top 50 most competitive seats
Read MoreWill Arlen Specter Win in 2010?
When Pennsylvania U.S. Senator Arlen Specter switched from the Republican to the Democratic Party on Tuesday morning, the first question asked was not why he bolted from the GOP, but how his change in party affiliation will impact the Democratic…
Read MorePennsylvania Primary Wrap-up; Or, Why Clinton Could Actually Be Winning the Race for the Democratic Nomination
Hillary Clinton’s big (though unsurprising to Smart Politics) double-digit victory in the Keystone State Tuesday night did more than ‘delay the inevitable’—the ‘inevitable’ being what most pundits say is that Barack Obama will be the Democratic nominee for president. Clinton…
Read MoreFinal PA Polls; Live Blog Tonight
Three more polls of likely Pennsylvania primary voters were released today – each showing Hillary Clinton with a substantial lead: American Research Group (April 20-21, 600 LV): Clinton 56%, Obama 40% Zogby (April 20-21, 675 LV): Clinton 51%, Obama 41%…
Read MoreLive Blog: The Pennsylvania Primary
7:00 p.m. MSNBC characterizes the race as “too close to call.” Fox News calls it “close” and CNN calls it “competitive.” 7:10 p.m. It was an interesting, though not surprising, turn by the media during the past few days. The…
Read MorePennsylvania Poll Roundup: Clinton to Sail on to NC, IN
Despite a lot of noise in the media during the last few weeks about Barack Obama’s surging campaign in Pennsylvania, Hillary Clinton appears on top in all five polls released during the past 24 hours—including by double digits in two…
Read MoreWhy Clinton Is Not In Trouble In Pennsylvania
With Pennsylvania’s Democratic primary less than 2 weeks away, the media is attempting to drum up interest with reports that Barack Obama is running neck-and-neck with Clinton in the Keystone State. While it is true that Obama has gained ground…
Read More