Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Which US Senate Race Will Be the Biggest Nail-Biter of 2018?
Two of this cycle’s ‘toss-up’ states – Indiana and Nevada – have hosted the most closely decided races for the office in seven cycles over the last century.
Read MoreIn Which States Have Incumbent Governors Struggled to Win Reelection?
Over the last 60+ years, Alaska is the only state in the nation where governors have lost more bids for another term than they have won.
Read MoreNo 20-Year Club in the 116th Congress
Prior to Jeff Sessions’ departure in 2017, it had been 30+ years since the last time the chamber did not contain at least one state delegation whose members had served two decades together.
Read MoreAlyse Galvin Could Become 1st Woman to Serve As An Independent US Representative
One woman has previously been elected to the chamber as an independent, but never served under that designation.
Read MoreCan Billie Sutton End the Nation’s Longest Democratic Gubernatorial Drought?
Prognosticators are split as to the vulnerability of this GOP-held seat, but there is no denying a win by the state senator would be a political earthquake in deep red South Dakota.
Read MoreNumber of Split US Senate Delegations Could Drop to 60+ Year Low After 2018
The number of states with U.S. Senators from different parties might fall to single digits for the first time since the 84th Congress.
Read MoreWill Minnesota Democrats Take Back the State House?
The party winning the U.S. House has won a majority of seats in the Minnesota House for 17 of the last 22 cycles including nine of the last 10.
Read MoreWhich States Have the Largest (and Longest) Streaks Fielding Candidates from Both Major Parties in US House Races?
Four states have had Democratic and Republican nominees on the ballot for 100+ straight elections; four states also own streaks dating back to the 1800s.
Read MoreNew Jersey GOP US House Candidates Bracing for Worst Cycle In More Than a Century
If Democrats pick off three of the state’s four vulnerable GOP seats this November, Republicans will send its smallest delegation to the chamber in 105+ years.
Read MoreIs the Footprint Fading for Minnesota 3rd Party US House Candidates?
The frequency of non-major party candidates has declined over the last two decades, although nearly half who run continue to win 5+ percent of the vote.
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