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Smart Politics

Political Analysis By and Beyond the Numbers Since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

Alyse Galvin Could Become 1st Woman to Serve As An Independent US Representative

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 12, 2018 | 2

One woman has previously been elected to the chamber as an independent, but never served under that designation.

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Can Billie Sutton End the Nation’s Longest Democratic Gubernatorial Drought?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 10, 2018 | 2

Prognosticators are split as to the vulnerability of this GOP-held seat, but there is no denying a win by the state senator would be a political earthquake in deep red South Dakota.

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Number of Split US Senate Delegations Could Drop to 60+ Year Low After 2018

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 5, 2018 | 5

The number of states with U.S. Senators from different parties might fall to single digits for the first time since the 84th Congress.

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Will Minnesota Democrats Take Back the State House?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 3, 2018 | 3

The party winning the U.S. House has won a majority of seats in the Minnesota House for 17 of the last 22 cycles including nine of the last 10.

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Which States Have the Largest (and Longest) Streaks Fielding Candidates from Both Major Parties in US House Races?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 1, 2018 | 0

Four states have had Democratic and Republican nominees on the ballot for 100+ straight elections; four states also own streaks dating back to the 1800s.

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New Jersey GOP US House Candidates Bracing for Worst Cycle In More Than a Century

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 26, 2018 | 4

If Democrats pick off three of the state’s four vulnerable GOP seats this November, Republicans will send its smallest delegation to the chamber in 105+ years.

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Is the Footprint Fading for Minnesota 3rd Party US House Candidates?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 24, 2018 | 2

The frequency of non-major party candidates has declined over the last two decades, although nearly half who run continue to win 5+ percent of the vote.

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Will Kansas Elect A Democratic Governor in 2018?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 20, 2018 | 3

The political environment is in place to give Democrats their best chance to win in the deep red state.

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Which States Lead the Nation Nominating Women for Governor?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 17, 2018 | 2

Democrats and Republicans in six states have still never nominated a woman to its top executive office.

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Wisconsin’s 1st CD Could Be 1st Open Seat of House Speaker to Flip Since 1846

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 13, 2018 | 2

Over the last 170+ years, each of the last 15 times a U.S. House Speaker retired, resigned, or died in office, his party held the seat.

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