Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Clearing the Field
For the first time in party history, only one Alaska Democrat appeared on the gubernatorial primary ballot. Despite a late entrance into the 2018 race, former U.S. Senator Mark Begich ran unopposed for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination while seven Republicans – second most in party history (1986, nine) – duked it out for the GOP…
Read MoreDodson Attempts to End Undefeated Renomination Streak By Wyoming US Senators
Incumbents have won all 29 nomination bids during Wyoming’s direct primary era with no challenger winning 30 percent; Barrasso has drawn more challengers in 2018 than any Wyoming senator in history.
Read MoreAmy Klobuchar Nearly Breaks Minnesota’s US Senate Primary Record
Minnesota’s senior senator came less than a percentage point shy of the best showing in a contested Gopher State U.S. Senate primary.
Read MoreFeast or Famine
With Attorney General Lori Swanson and state Representative Erin Murphy losing to Tim Walz in Minnesota’s 2018 Democratic gubernatorial primary, Minnesota will continue its streak of never nominating a woman to the office of governor from a major party in state history. Meanwhile, with state Representative Peggy Flanagan and former U.S. Marine Corps intelligence officer…
Read MoreA Little Healthy Competition Never Hurt Anybody
For the first time since 1914, both Democratic and Republican gubernatorial primaries in Minnesota were decided by less than 10 points. On Tuesday, DFL Congressman Tim Walz defeated state Representative Erin Murphy by 9.6 points while Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson beat former Governor Tim Pawlenty by 8.7 points on the Republican side. Prior to…
Read MoreHow Often Do Seats Flip in Rematches of US House Special Elections?
Over the last 50 years, 41 losing nominees in special elections landed a rematch in the subsequent general election – only six were victorious and just two since 1981.
Read MoreKobach vs. Colyer Nail-Biter Is Closest Gubernatorial Primary in Kansas History
The less than 0.1-point lead currently held by Kobach over Colyer ranks as the closest race among the 88 major party gubernatorial primaries in state history.
Read MoreDefinitely Not Fred Rogers
Between 1986 and 2014, Kansas Democratic gubernatorial nominees were opposed in just three of eight cycles. One candidate ran in all three of these primaries: controversial founder of the Westboro Baptist Church Fred Phelps. Phelps came in last in each race, winning 6.7 percent in 1990’s primary won by Treasurer Joan Finney, 3.4 percent in…
Read MoreDiane Black Loses Big, But Sets GOP Record
The U.S. Representative now owns the mark for the best showing by a Republican woman running for governor of Tennessee – although her competition is sparse.
Read MoreA Unified Democratic Front
Former Tennessee Governor Phil Bredesen rolled to victory as expected in the three-candidate race for the Democratic U.S. Senate nomination on Thursday – and tied a party record in doing so. Bredesen won 91.5 percent of the vote against perennial candidate Gary Davis (running in his sixth consecutive primary for the office) and attorney John…
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