Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Can Billie Sutton End the Nation’s Longest Democratic Gubernatorial Drought?
Prognosticators are split as to the vulnerability of this GOP-held seat, but there is no denying a win by the state senator would be a political earthquake in deep red South Dakota.
Read MoreNumber of Split US Senate Delegations Could Drop to 60+ Year Low After 2018
The number of states with U.S. Senators from different parties might fall to single digits for the first time since the 84th Congress.
Read MoreWill Minnesota Democrats Take Back the State House?
The party winning the U.S. House has won a majority of seats in the Minnesota House for 17 of the last 22 cycles including nine of the last 10.
Read MoreWhich States Have the Largest (and Longest) Streaks Fielding Candidates from Both Major Parties in US House Races?
Four states have had Democratic and Republican nominees on the ballot for 100+ straight elections; four states also own streaks dating back to the 1800s.
Read MoreNew Jersey GOP US House Candidates Bracing for Worst Cycle In More Than a Century
If Democrats pick off three of the state’s four vulnerable GOP seats this November, Republicans will send its smallest delegation to the chamber in 105+ years.
Read MoreIs the Footprint Fading for Minnesota 3rd Party US House Candidates?
The frequency of non-major party candidates has declined over the last two decades, although nearly half who run continue to win 5+ percent of the vote.
Read MoreWill Kansas Elect A Democratic Governor in 2018?
The political environment is in place to give Democrats their best chance to win in the deep red state.
Read MoreWhich States Lead the Nation Nominating Women for Governor?
Democrats and Republicans in six states have still never nominated a woman to its top executive office.
Read MoreWisconsin’s 1st CD Could Be 1st Open Seat of House Speaker to Flip Since 1846
Over the last 170+ years, each of the last 15 times a U.S. House Speaker retired, resigned, or died in office, his party held the seat.
Read MoreJust Wait Until 2020
Over the last 105 years, only one state has never elected a Republican U.S. Senator while a fellow GOPer served in the White House – Arkansas. The Natural State has voted for a Democratic nominee in all 17 opportunities to date, and will get its next chance to break that streak in 2020 when Republican…
Read More