Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
The Worst Statewide Performances by Winning Democratic Presidential Nominees
Even victorious Democratic nominees have a few rotten eggs on their electoral scorecards, with 10 failing to win even 30 percent of the vote across nearly three-dozen states.
Read MoreEvan McMullin Could Set Mark for Weakest National Popular Vote by Candidate to Win a State
The independent presidential hopeful is on the ballot in only 11 states, but could shatter a record if he wins Utah.
Read MoreMurkowski Could Become 1st US Senator with Three Plurality Victories
An 11th hour campaign by Joe Miller may keep the popular Alaska Republican from winning over a majority of voters for a third consecutive cycle.
Read MoreWith Joe Heck Victory Nevada GOP Would Hold All Statewide Offices for 1st Time Since 1870
Retiring U.S. Senator Harry Reid is the only Democrat to hold one of Nevada’s eight partisan statewide offices.
Read MoreIs Rob Portman Still Underperforming vis-à-vis Trump in Ohio?
The first term U.S. Senator is enjoying a comfortable lead in the polls, but modern political history suggests he should be doing even better.
Read MoreDemocrats Could Notch Best Gubernatorial Election Cycle in Party History
If a handful of toss-up races all end up in the Democratic column, the party will have its strongest showing in races for governor since its formation nearly 190 years ago.
Read MoreWill Democrats Sweep the Northeast Yet Again?
The 11 Northeastern states could tie the nation’s all-time regional mark for the most consecutive cycles backing a political party’s presidential nominee.
Read MoreWill Wisconsin Follow Iowa’s Trump Surge?
The two Midwestern states have voted in unison in presidential elections nearly 90 percent of the time.
Read MoreRematches Abound in 2016 US House Elections
Nearly five-dozen U.S. House races in 2016 involve the same two major party candidates from 2014 including one matchup in Missouri with nominees squaring off for the sixth consecutive cycle.
Read MoreFive’s a Crowd
New Hampshire’s high profile 1st CD race between Republican U.S. Representative Frank Guinta and former Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter includes three other candidates after a state commission ruled last week that independent Shawn O’Connor is allowed on the ballot, joining Libertarian Robert Lombardo and independent Brendan Kelly. With five candidate choices, the 1st CD contest will…
Read More