Colorado
The Short Half-Life of a First-Term US Senator
Three fell in 2014 and more than half of all defeated U.S. Senators over the last 100 years have been in their first term; at least one first-term incumbent has lost reelection in 47 of the 51 election cycles during the direct election era.
Read MorePlurality-Winning Governors Elected At Century-Long High Water Mark
The rate of gubernatorial candidates elected without the support of a majority of voters is at its highest level since the 1910s.
Read MoreWill a Freshman US Representative Win a Senate Seat in 2016?
Tom Cotton and Steve Daines became two of just 19 House freshmen to be elected to the Senate over the last century; will a new freshman risk his or her seat to do the same in two years?
Read MoreIs There a Presidential Drag On Gubernatorial Elections?
Only five of the 20 presidents to serve since 1900 have seen their party win a majority of gubernatorial elections during their administrations, and only one since JFK.
Read MoreNo Wiggle Room: The 2014 Gubernatorial Elections Are Lousy with Toss-ups
The eight tightest gubernatorial races in the country all involve incumbents and the 2014 cycle could yield the most gubernatorial races decided by less than a point since at least 1900.
Read MoreWhich US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings
Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.
Read MoreHistoric Gubernatorial Rematch Looming in Colorado
Tom Tancredo must first survive a competitive GOP primary; if he does he’ll get the first crack at a gubernatorial rematch in Rocky Mountain State history.
Read MoreWill 2016 GOP Convention Boost Nominee in Host City’s State?
Republican presidential nominees have averaged a 1-point decline in the convention host state’s adjusted margin of victory (or loss) vis-à-vis the national vote compared to the previous election cycle since the first televised convention in 1940.
Read MoreDeath of the Battlegrounds? The 2012 Election in History
The 2012 presidential election is the only cycle since the birth of the two-party system in 1828 to be decided by less than 15 points nationally and yet have less than 10 percent of its contests decided by fewer than five points.
Read MoreFinal Battleground Maps: 114 Electoral Votes Up for Grabs
A dozen media outlets still yield 10 different battleground state maps less than a week from Election Day, with an average of nine states and 114 electoral votes hanging in the balance.
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