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Illinois

Seven GOP Bellwethers to Remain After 2016 Primary Contests

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 5, 2016 | 1

Five states (plus two yet to vote) will keep their perfect records intact for backing the eventual Republican nominee in the modern primary era; two states lost their bellwether status this cycle.

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GOP Has Most US Senators Seeking Reelection in 90 Years

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 3, 2016 | 3

The last time 20 or more Republican U.S. Senators ran for reelection was in 1926 – the party lost seven seats that cycle including six freshmen.

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Will There Still Be 20 Women in the US Senate After 2016?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 20, 2016 | 3

While female candidates have opportunities to pick up seats this November, some face challenging general election odds while others face stiff competition to win their party’s primary.

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The Longest Republican US House Delegation Streaks

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 14, 2016 | 0

Just three states have elected at least one Republican to the House of Representatives in every cycle since the founding of the party in 1854; eight other states have streaks dating back to the 19th Century.

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115th Congress Could Have Fewest Split US Senate Delegations in History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 12, 2016 | 2

If the nation’s six most competitive seats flip in 2016, the upper legislative chamber will tie its mark for the lowest number of states with split delegations in the direct election era.

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Primary Wins Are Not Predictive of General Election Success: Part I, the Republicans

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 21, 2016 | 3

Since 1976, GOP nominees have been victorious at a greater rate in states they lost during the primary season than in those they won.

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Illinois Democratic Primary Has Closest Finish in State History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 17, 2016 | 1

The Clinton-Sanders battle easily broke the record for the most competitive presidential primary for either party in Illinois history; the Trump-Cruz race was the second closest GOP battle in the state.

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Will Florida, Illinois Extend the Nation’s Longest Streak Backing the Eventual GOP Nominee?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 14, 2016 | 1

Three states have backed every Republican presidential candidate over the last 15 cycles since 1956 – two vote on Tuesday.

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Top of the Ticket Woes for 2016 Republican-Controlled US Senate Seats?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 22, 2016 | 3

Florida, Wisconsin, and North Carolina are three of 18 states never to split their ticket by voting for a Democratic presidential nominee and a Republican U.S. Senate candidate in the same cycle.

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Big Seats to Fill: US Senate Seats Held by Presidents

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 28, 2016 | 0

Four current members of the U.S. Senate hold seats once occupied by two former presidents; three future presidents once served alongside each other in the chamber.

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