Wisconsin
Splitting the Electorate
With new polls released this week showing uncertainty at the top of the leader board in the Wisconsin GOP U.S. Senate race, the four-candidate field of Tommy Thompson, Eric Hovde, Mark Neumann, and Jeff Fitzgerald is likely to produce not…
Read MoreHistory Gives Baldwin, Neumann Long Odds in Wisconsin US Senate Bids
Only two of 15 ex- or sitting Badger State U.S. Representatives have run successful U.S. Senate campaigns; two more may go down in 2012.
Read MoreBarrett Support Rises in 19 Counties, Falls in 53 Others
An increase in support in Dane and Milwaukee Counties is not enough for Mayor Barrett to stave off Governor Walker’s surge in central and northern Wisconsin.
Read MoreScott Walker’s Victory by the Numbers
Gubernatorial candidates seeking a rematch have now lost 5 of 7 contests in Wisconsin history.
Read MoreHow Big will Barrett Score in Dane and Milwaukee Counties?
Holding 2010 totals constant for the state’s other 70 counties, Barrett would need to carry 75.1 percent of the vote in Wisconsin’s two most populated counties to beat Walker on Tuesday (up from 64.1 percent in 2010).
Read MoreWisconsin Poised to Extend Competitive Gubernatorial Election Streak
Wisconsin is expected to join Rhode Island, Iowa, and Minnesota on Tuesday for the only states currently with four or more consecutive elections decided by single digits.
Read MoreCould An Independent Swing Wisconsin’s Gubernatorial Recall Election?
Only two independent candidates have ever won more than 1 percent of the vote across 73 Wisconsin gubernatorial elections since 1848; both of these candidates were former Republican officeholders.
Read MoreLook to Senate Race, Not Walker Recall for Romney vs Obama Tilt in Wisconsin
The Badger State has voted for the same party in presidential and U.S. Senate races in 14 of 16 cycles over the last century.
Read MoreGOP Seeks First Grip on Both US Senate Seats in Decades in Florida, Nebraska, North Dakota, Wisconsin
The last time Florida Republicans held both Senate seats was 1875; WI (1957), ND (1960), and NE (1976) could also see an end to a decades-long Democratic presence in its state delegations.
Read MoreWalker’s Odds: How Often Do Wisconsin Gubernatorial Incumbents Win Reelection?
Governors in the Badger State have kept their job in 34 of 46 contests since statehood, or 74 percent of the time.
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