Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
What Constitutes An Electoral College Landslide?
Trump’s 2016 win ranks 19th out of the last 25 elections since 1920.
Read MoreDeval Patrick: Late to the Party?
Over the last dozen election cycles, only one candidate who was the last to enter the race won the Democratic or Republican Party nomination.
Read MoreArkansas Democrats Poised to Make History
The 12-year gap between no GOP and Democratic Arkansas U.S. Senate nominees will be the shortest in the direct election era.
Read MoreBeshear Wins 2nd Closest Gubernatorial Election in Kentucky History
Beshear is the first governor of Kentucky to win without a majority in more than 100 years.
Read MoreWill Kentucky’s 2019 Electorate Look More Like 2016 or 2018?
It didn’t show up on the scoreboard, but Democrats made inroads in GOP strongholds last year.
Read MoreThe Closest Shave
For each of the last seven election cycles since the 1990s, the closest presidential election contest has been held in the South (Georgia in 1992, Kentucky in 1996, Florida in 2000 and 2012) or the Midwest (Wisconsin in 2004, Missouri in 2008, Michigan in 2016). The Northeast region has hosted the nation’s most competitive race…
Read MoreHow Will Success Be Measured for Democrats in Mississippi’s Gubernatorial Election?
The party could be swept at the polls in statewide races for the first time since Reconstruction.
Read MoreWill a Majority of Louisiana Voters Back John Bel Edwards?
Four of the five first-place Louisiana primary gubernatorial election winners whose party’s collective primary vote did not reach 50 percent still went on to win the general election.
Read MoreThe 50 Millionth Voter
At some point on November 3, 2020 an unknown Minnesotan will cast the state’s 50 millionth general election vote for president. Over the previous 40 cycles since 1860, there have been 47,409,575 votes for president cast in the Gopher State, which has consistently boasted one of the highest voter turnout rates in the country in…
Read MoreCould New York Democrats Sweep the State’s 27 US House Seats in 2020?
The GOP won six of the state’s CDs in 2018 – but five by single digits.
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