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Smart Politics

Political Analysis By and Beyond the Numbers Since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

Can the GOP Flip US House Seats in Minnesota if Democrats Make Big Gains Nationally?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 18, 2018 | 1

Over the last century, Minnesota Republicans have flipped a U.S. House seat in just one of the 12 cycles when Democrats netted 20+ seats across the country.

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The Elusive 60 Percent

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 17, 2018 | 0

Democrats in four states have never won three-fifths of the gubernatorial vote in electoral history – that could change in two states in 2018.

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Ocasio-Cortez Fuels Campaign for Historic Defeat of Tom Carper in Delaware Democratic Primary

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 13, 2018 | 2

No incumbent U.S. Senator has lost a primary in the First State and 33 of 35 incumbents have won renomination over the last century.

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Rhode Island On the Verge of Impressive Non-Major Party Gubernatorial Streak

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 11, 2018 | 4

Independent Joe Trillo could make Rhode Island the first state in 75+ years to have non-major party gubernatorial candidates win 20+ percent in three consecutive cycles.

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Mitt Romney: Utah’s Next ‘Senior’ Junior US Senator

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 9, 2018 | 3

Nine state delegations currently have junior senators who are older than its senior senator.

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Arizona Republicans Brace for Rare Competitive US Senate Primary

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 6, 2018 | 3

This decade has found the Arizona GOP in the midst of its most heavily contested nomination battles for the office in state history.

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Jon Tester Eyes Record-Tying Plurality Win in 2018 US Senate Bid

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 3, 2018 | 1

Only one previous senator in history has been elected to the chamber without a majority of the vote three times.

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Will Both Democrats and Republicans Flip US Senate Seats in 2018?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 2, 2018 | 4

The nation has seen an unusually large number of cycles of late during which only one major party flips U.S. Senate seats.

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A Brief History of New Mexico Women US House Nominees

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 28, 2018 | 2

A record four women were nominated by major parties to the U.S. House from New Mexico this cycle; female nominees have won 41 percent of such races in state history.

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Record Number of Democrats Square Off in 2018 Maryland Gubernatorial Primary

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 26, 2018 | 2

The nine candidates on the 2018 primary ballot breaks a record that stood for more than half a century.

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Explore over 160 years of election results in Minnesota

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