Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Rex Tillerson’s Historically Short Tenure As Secretary of State
Tillerson left office quicker than nearly every other president’s first pick for secretary of state in history.
Read MoreHow Often Do Parties Flip US House Seats in Specials Where They Previously Did Not Field a Candidate?
With Lamb’s win, eight out of the last 26 U.S. House seats to flip have been in districts where the winning party did not recruit a nominee during the most recent election cycle.
Read MoreWill There Be a Record Number of Woman vs Woman US Senate Matchups in 2018?
There is a good chance as many as six states could have two female major party nominees for the office – doubling the previous record for an election cycle.
Read MoreA 30-Year Wait
Wisconsin State Senator Leah Vukmir’s campaign to win the 2018 GOP U.S. Senate nomination and challenge incumbent Tammy Baldwin seems to be gaining traction against businessman Kevin Nicholson (as businessman and 2012 candidate Eric Hovde waits in the wings to potentially complicate the race). If Vukmir is successful, she will become just the second woman…
Read MoreNot a Sacrificial Lamb
If Democratic attorney Conor Lamb upsets State Representative Rick Saccone in next Tuesday’s special election in Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional District, it will mark just the second time a seat has flipped across 29 specials held in the Keystone State since 1951. Over the last 67 years, Democrat John Murtha’s February 1974 0.2-point win against Harry…
Read MoreBeto O’Rourke Scores Biggest Texas Democratic US Senate Primary Win in 28 Years
Only one other Democratic nominee has avoided a primary runoff since 1994.
Read More2018 is 15th Cycle with Multiple States Hosting Elections for Both US Senate Seats
It is not a rarity to find a cycle with more than one state hosting elections for both U.S. Senate seats on the autumn ballot.
Read More2020 Midwestern Reapportionment Preview
The 12-state region will see its collective delegation decrease in size for the 10th consecutive decade, although at its lowest rate in a half-century.
Read MoreChris McDaniel Hopes to Make History in Mississippi
Eight previous losing Mississippi U.S. Senate candidates, including two U.S. Representatives and two state legislators, have attempted a cumulative 18 comeback bids for the office – losing all 18 times.
Read MoreMinnesota Congressional Retirements: When It Rains, It Pours
Minnesota Democrats will have two open U.S. House seats for the first time in party history this cycle, but the state is no stranger to multiple retirements.
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