Archive for March 2014
Red Records in the South
Republicans are heavily favored to win gubernatorial races in Oklahoma, Alabama, and Tennessee this cycle and, should incumbents Mary Fallin, Robert Bentley, and Bill Haslam cruise to victory, they will tie or extend GOP records for their respective states. Oklahoma…
Read MoreOne Strike and You’re Out? Bill Brady’s Impossible Dream
No losing Illinois gubernatorial nominee has come back to win the governor’s race in state history and only two have made it back onto the general election ballot.
Read MoreWill Overby’s Candidacy Ignite Florida Libertarians in 2014?
Overby is just the fifth candidate to appear on the ballot as a Libertarian in a Florida U.S. House race.
Read MoreAdvantage Sink? Women Win US House Specials at More Than 2x Rate of General Elections
Since 1980, women have won nearly a quarter of the nation’s 141 U.S. House special elections (and 58 percent of contests featuring only one female major party nominee), compared to just 11 percent of general election races.
Read MoreThe Elusive Republican Majority
Republican gubernatorial nominees in one state have failed to win a majority of the vote in more than 50 years.
Read MoreCornyn Records Weakest Ever Primary Win for Texas GOP US Senator
He may have cruised to a 40-point win, but the two-term Republican incumbent was still less than 10 points from a runoff while recording the worst ever primary performance by a Texas Republican Senator.
Read MoreRalph Hall Could Become Just 2nd Ever Texas GOP US Rep to Lose Nomination Bid
If he loses a May runoff, Hall would become only the second of 258 incumbent Republican U.S. House members from the Lone Star State to fail to secure their party’s nomination since statehood.
Read MoreWill 2016 GOP Convention Boost Nominee in Host City’s State?
Republican presidential nominees have averaged a 1-point decline in the convention host state’s adjusted margin of victory (or loss) vis-à-vis the national vote compared to the previous election cycle since the first televised convention in 1940.
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