Archive for March 2016
Is the 2016 Democratic Race Really Less Competitive Than 2008?
Delegate counts obscure the fact that Sanders has won more states than Clinton did in 2008 among the 32 to hold primaries and caucuses thus far in 2016; 15 states have been more closely decided than eight years ago.
Read MoreSteve King Seeks to Avoid 1st Primary Loss by Iowa US Rep Since 1940s
Iowa U.S. Representatives have successfully defended each of their last 187 renomination bids over the last 66 years.
Read MoreWill the 2016 GOP Nominee Pick a Rival Candidate for VP?
Only once over the last 60+ years has the Republican Party nominated a failed presidential candidate from that cycle for vice president.
Read MoreWill the House Follow Suit?
If Democrats face Donald Trump or Ted Cruz in November, the party is confident a victory at the top of the ticket would not only result in a good chance at taking back the U.S. Senate but also making notable gains in the House of Representatives. Since the U.S. House reached 435 members in the…
Read MoreHeart to Hart?
Bernie Sanders has notched 11 primary and caucus wins during the 2016 campaign to date and plans to add to his total this weekend with Democratic caucuses being held in Alaska, Hawaii, and Washington. Thus far Sanders’s victory tally has mostly mirrored the states won by Gary Hart 32 years ago – with the Vermont…
Read MoreSharron Angle Runs Again in the Land of 2nd Chances
Angle’s candidacy marks the 37th time a losing U.S. Senate candidate ran again for a seat from the Silver State, of which seven were successful.
Read MorePrimary Wins Are Not Predictive of General Election Success (Part II, the Democrats)
Obama, Kerry, and Bill Clinton all performed as well or better in the general election in states they lost during the primaries versus those they won
Read MorePrimary Wins Are Not Predictive of General Election Success: Part I, the Republicans
Since 1976, GOP nominees have been victorious at a greater rate in states they lost during the primary season than in those they won.
Read MoreIllinois Democratic Primary Has Closest Finish in State History
The Clinton-Sanders battle easily broke the record for the most competitive presidential primary for either party in Illinois history; the Trump-Cruz race was the second closest GOP battle in the state.
Read MoreRubio 3rd GOPer in 80 Years to Win a State, But Lose Home Primary
Rubio joins George H.W. Bush in 1980 and Pat Robertson in 1988 as the only Republicans since the mid-1930s with wins under their belt to lose their home state primary.
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