Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Will Obama or Romney Break Any Records Tuesday?
Obama set the all-time Democratic presidential statewide victory margin marks in Delaware and Vermont (and D.C.) four years ago.
Read MoreCould Democrats Gain US Senate Seats with Obama Loss?
Is it possible for Democrats to lose the White House and still gain seats in the U.S. Senate? Possible, but not likely. In the 15 cycles in which the incumbent party has lost the White House since 1860, on only…
Read MoreFinal Battleground Maps: 114 Electoral Votes Up for Grabs
A dozen media outlets still yield 10 different battleground state maps less than a week from Election Day, with an average of nine states and 114 electoral votes hanging in the balance.
Read MoreRomney-Bills and Klobuchar-Obama Voter Gaps Could Make History in Minnesota
Kurt Bills is running 22 points behind his party’s presidential nominee in Minnesota according to a new Star Tribune poll – on pace to eclipse the worst-ever mark of -17 points since the DFL merger in 1944.
Read MoreWhich State Will Host the Most Closely Decided Presidential Race in 2012?
Since 1824, Kentucky and Maryland have each hosted the closest statewide presidential contests five times; Ohio last did so in back-to-back cycles in 1944 and 1948.
Read MoreLess than 1% of Voting Eligible Population Polled in Battleground States This Cycle
After more than 640 polls, 531,000 individuals have been surveyed this cycle about the Romney-Obama horserace across the 57.3 million voting eligible population of the 10 main battleground states.
Read MoreMinnesota Eyes Most Competitive US House Races Since 1994
The last time three Gopher State congressional races were decided by single digits was during the Republican Revolution.
Read MoreOn Presidents and Bayonets: A Historical Review
Ronald Reagan talked about bayonets more than twice as frequently as any other president; most presidential rhetoric casts the weapon as a symbol for tyranny and unjust force.
Read MoreGeorge McGovern’s Post Presidential Election Half-Life Was 3rd Longest in History
Only Strom Thurmond (1948, 54 years) and Alf Landon (1936, 50 years) lived longer after losing a presidential election.
Read MoreWill Christie Vilsack Make History for Iowa Women?
Iowa would become the 45th state in the nation to elect a woman to the U.S. House if Vilsack defeats Steve King in November.
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