Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
How Big will Barrett Score in Dane and Milwaukee Counties?
Holding 2010 totals constant for the state’s other 70 counties, Barrett would need to carry 75.1 percent of the vote in Wisconsin’s two most populated counties to beat Walker on Tuesday (up from 64.1 percent in 2010).
Read MoreWisconsin Poised to Extend Competitive Gubernatorial Election Streak
Wisconsin is expected to join Rhode Island, Iowa, and Minnesota on Tuesday for the only states currently with four or more consecutive elections decided by single digits.
Read MoreCould An Independent Swing Wisconsin’s Gubernatorial Recall Election?
Only two independent candidates have ever won more than 1 percent of the vote across 73 Wisconsin gubernatorial elections since 1848; both of these candidates were former Republican officeholders.
Read MoreThaddeus McCotter, Meet Bob Dornan
Michigan Republican Congressman Thaddeus McCotter’s filing error, which left him hundreds of valid signatures shy to appear on the Wolverine State’s U.S. House primary ballot in August, may spell the end of the five-term congressman’s tenure in D.C. If McCotter…
Read MoreGOP Challengers Close Historical Gap But Fall Short in Texas US House Primaries
Tea Party candidates cut into Republican incumbents’ victory margins by levels not seen in at least a generation.
Read MoreFun Facts in Texas U.S. Senate Primary Election History
Nearly 40 percent of Lone Star State Democratic primaries for U.S. Senate have gone to a runoff since 1916 with the second place candidate winning in more than half of the runoff elections.
Read MoreLook to Senate Race, Not Walker Recall for Romney vs Obama Tilt in Wisconsin
The Badger State has voted for the same party in presidential and U.S. Senate races in 14 of 16 cycles over the last century.
Read MoreRomney’s Numbers Underwhelm in Final Primary Contests
Romney has carried just three out of 43 states this cycle with 70+ percent of the vote, compared to an average of more than 15 states by previous presumptive GOP nominees.
Read MoreGOP Seeks First Grip on Both US Senate Seats in Decades in Florida, Nebraska, North Dakota, Wisconsin
The last time Florida Republicans held both Senate seats was 1875; WI (1957), ND (1960), and NE (1976) could also see an end to a decades-long Democratic presence in its state delegations.
Read MoreMinnesota Labor Force Participation Rate Reaches 29-Year Low
The last time the labor force participation rate was this low in the Gopher State was July 1983.
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