Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Will Kentucky’s 2019 Electorate Look More Like 2016 or 2018?
It didn’t show up on the scoreboard, but Democrats made inroads in GOP strongholds last year.
Read MoreHow Will Success Be Measured for Democrats in Mississippi’s Gubernatorial Election?
The party could be swept at the polls in statewide races for the first time since Reconstruction.
Read MoreThe Closest Shave
For each of the last seven election cycles since the 1990s, the closest presidential election contest has been held in the South (Georgia in 1992, Kentucky in 1996, Florida in 2000 and 2012) or the Midwest (Wisconsin in 2004, Missouri in 2008, Michigan in 2016). The Northeast region has hosted the nation’s most competitive race…
Read MoreWill a Majority of Louisiana Voters Back John Bel Edwards?
Four of the five first-place Louisiana primary gubernatorial election winners whose party’s collective primary vote did not reach 50 percent still went on to win the general election.
Read MoreThe 50 Millionth Voter
At some point on November 3, 2020 an unknown Minnesotan will cast the state’s 50 millionth general election vote for president. Over the previous 40 cycles since 1860, there have been 47,409,575 votes for president cast in the Gopher State, which has consistently boasted one of the highest voter turnout rates in the country in…
Read MoreCould New York Democrats Sweep the State’s 27 US House Seats in 2020?
The GOP won six of the state’s CDs in 2018 – but five by single digits.
Read MoreMinnesota Again Eyes Multiple US House Rematches in 2020
The Gopher State has hosted 26 rematch elections among major party nominees since 1990 – only three such challengers have been successful.
Read MoreWill Kentucky Host a Rare Competitive Gubernatorial Election in 2019?
The GOP is trying to win back-to-back races in the Bluegrass State for the first time in 120 years – more than doubling the next longest drought in the nation.
Read MoreThe Longest and Largest US House Special Election Droughts
Wisconsin’s 108-election streak – sixth in the nation – will shortly come to an end.
Read MoreWisconsin’s 2020 US House Delegation Will Be Its Greenest In At Least 65 Years
The state has sent 22 of its Top 25 most experienced delegations to D.C. over the last 50 years.
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