Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Nothing to See Here: A Review of Indiana Democratic US Senate Primaries
The party has hosted only one contested primary for the office over the last dozen cycles since 1988.
Read MoreJoe Manchin Turns in 3rd Weakest US Senate Renomination Bid In West Virginia History
It had been 78 years since an incumbent from either party garnered less support in a Mountain State U.S. Senate primary.
Read MoreIt’s All Relative: Indiana Edition, Part II
Slightly more than 1 in 20 Hoosiers entering Congress since statehood had a family member precede them in one of the two legislative chambers.
Read MoreIt’s All Relative: Indiana Edition, Part I
Eight members of Congress from Indiana have simultaneously served alongside family members on the Hill; the Braun brothers hope their names will be added to that list after 2018.
Read MoreWill Richard Painter Give Minnesota DFLers a Rare Competitive US Senate Primary?
Only one DFL primary has been decided by single digits with the closest race involving an incumbent decided by 25 points.
Read MoreWill Minnesota Democrats Extend Their Statewide Winning Streak to 20 in 2018?
A sweep of the state’s U.S. Senate seats and constitutional offices will give the party the largest partisan winning streak in Minnesota in a century.
Read MoreCan Democrats Avoid Their 10th Straight Loss in Arizona and Tennessee US Senate Races in 2018?
In the direct election era, parties in the midst of nine-election winning streaks have gone on to win a 10th consecutive contest in 42 of 47 attempts.
Read MoreWill Arizona’s 8th CD Special Election Provide a Rare April Upset?
Over the last 75+ years, April has hosted more special elections than any month outside of November; only six of the previous 44 specials flipped control of the seat.
Read MoreHow Big of a Footprint Will Sam McCann Leave in Illinois’ 2018 Gubernatorial Race?
Less than 1 in 10 third party or independent candidates for governor in Illinois history have won five percent of the vote.
Read MoreSpecials Are So Nice, They’ll Host Them Twice
Charlie Dent’s decision to resign prior to the end of this term means Pennsylvania will host a second special U.S. House election during the 115th Congress – on November 6th if not before. This will be the first time more than one special election to the chamber has been held in Pennsylvania during one cycle…
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