Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
The 10 Percent Solution: A Prescription for Surviving New Hampshire?
Since 1972, only six of 35 losing New Hampshire primary candidates who received 10+ percent of the vote dropped out of the race within the next two weeks.
Read MoreThe Seven Day Scramble
A full seven day gap between Iowa and New Hampshire has occurred in seven of the 12 presidential cycles since 1972.
Read MoreThe Other States in the State of the Union
Twenty-one states never received a shout-out from Barack Obama across his seven official State of the Union addresses.
Read MoreThe Dirty Dozen: 12 States Never to Appear on Michelle Obama’s SOTU Guest List
More than 160 guests have appeared with the First Lady since the president’s first State of the Union speech in 2010, but none from 12 states.
Read MoreSecond Chances: Will Gary Johnson Improve in 2016?
Nearly two-thirds of repeat third party nominees performed worse during their second White House run.
Read MoreWhy a 2016 Tea Party Primary Challenge Against Paul Ryan Will Fail
Only one Wisconsin U.S. Representative has lost a primary since 1950 and just four others have won by less than double-digits.
Read MoreTed Strickland’s Unusual Pathway to the US Senate
Only three former governors coming off failed reelection bids have gone on to win a U.S. Senate seat during the last 70+ years.
Read MoreWin Big or Go Home? A Brief History of the New Hampshire Primary
Only three of 18 plurality winners of the New Hampshire primary went on to win the presidency compared to 18 of 26 who secured a majority.
Read MoreReturn of the New York Republicans?
It has been over a century since the last time a New York Republican was elected president, but Donald Trump enters the New Year with a political half life that is seemingly long enough to at least enable him to make his mark on the Republican primary contests. Since presidential primaries were introduced in 1912,…
Read MoreLife After Dayton: Can Minnesota Democrats Make History in 2018?
Gopher State Democrats have never won back-to-back gubernatorial elections with different nominees.
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