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Presidency

Will Democrats Sweep the Northeast Yet Again?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 30, 2016 | 1

The 11 Northeastern states could tie the nation’s all-time regional mark for the most consecutive cycles backing a political party’s presidential nominee.

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Will Wisconsin Follow Iowa’s Trump Surge?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 27, 2016 | 3

The two Midwestern states have voted in unison in presidential elections nearly 90 percent of the time.

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Plurality Bites: Majorities in Many States Won’t Vote for Their Electoral College Winner

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 21, 2016 | 2

Since 1828, one in six states have cast their Electoral College votes for a candidate who failed to win the support of 50 percent of voters in their state.

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The 7-Cycle Itch: Will Pennsylvania Flip in 2016?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 16, 2016 | 1

Since 1932, 18 of the 44 six-cycle partisan statewide winning streaks in presidential elections were halted in the next cycle; however, each ended by supporting a nominee who won in an Electoral College landslide.

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A Strong Performance By Trump Might Not Save Some GOP US Senators

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 21, 2016 | 3

Since 1972, 12 of the 27 Republican U.S. Senators to lose during presidential election cycles did so while the GOP White House nominee carried their state.

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Indiana Voters Could See Rare Split-Ticket in 2016

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 18, 2016 | 1

Over the last century, Indiana voters have never backed a presidential nominee without also supporting that party’s gubernatorial or U.S. Senate nominee.

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Stealing Thunder: Will the Democratic Convention Blunt the ‘Trump Bounce?’

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 24, 2016 | 1

Across the last 20 cycles since 1936 there has been no positive correlation connecting shorter gaps between conventions and the president’s party holding the White House that November.

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Do Vice-Presidential Nominees Carry Their Home States?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 20, 2016 | 3

Since 1828, just a shade over half of major party presidential tickets won the home state of their VP nominees; one-quarter were not even able to hold the state after winning it during the previous cycle.

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A Brief Look at Indiana’s Rich History of Landing Vice-Presidential Nominees

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 18, 2016 | 1

The Hoosier State has produced the second largest number of running mates in U.S. history.

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6 Elected Officials Who Gave Up Their Seats Only to Lose as Their Party’s VP Nominee

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 6, 2016 | 3

Indiana Governor Mike Pence’s name may be added to a very short list of failed vice-presidential nominees who gave up their seats along the way.

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