Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Who’s #1 (Part II)? The Media’s 2016 Democratic Field
Hillary and Joe are ranked 1-2 in eight of 11 outlets under analysis with Andrew Cuomo solidly in third.
Read MoreWho’s #1? The Media’s 2016 Republican Field
Twenty-three GOPers have been listed as 2016 contenders across a dozen media outlets; only two candidates appear on all 12 lists (Rubio and Christie).
Read MoreWhy Does Keith Ellison Keep Getting Primaried?
Incumbent DFL U.S. Representatives have faced primary challengers only 30 percent of the time in party history; Ellison has faced at least one every cycle.
Read MoreFamiliar Faces
On Wednesday, Paul Ryan’s 2012 U.S. House challenger Rob Zerban announced he will seek a rematch in 2014 against the failed GOP VP nominee. Should Zerban win his party’s nomination next year, that would mean the Democratic Party will have…
Read MoreTom Cotton’s Quandary: Can House Freshmen Win Senate Seats?
Only 17 House freshmen have been elected to the Senate over the last century, and just two in the last 40 years.
Read MoreCan Mark Dayton Reach 50% in 2014?
The state with the lowest level of voter support for Democratic gubernatorial candidates in the 20th and 21st Centuries is…Minnesota?
Read MoreThe Most Competitive States for Gubernatorial Elections Since 1900
New Mexico’s races have been the most narrowly decided followed by Indiana and Ohio; Illinois captures top honors since the Reagan Revolution with Rhode Island the one to watch since the Republican Revolution.
Read MoreAnd the Most Notable First Lady Is…Laura Bush?
Laura Bush receives a 29 percent longer write-up than any other First Lady on the White House website’s official bio pages.
Read MoreThe Longest Democratic US Senate Droughts in the Nation
Herbert Hoover was president the last time Democrats won a Senate race in Kansas; Nixon was in his second year in office when Democrats last won Wyoming and Utah.
Read MoreThe Longest Republican US Senate Droughts in the Nation
It has been a combined 141 years since the GOP won a U.S. Senate race in West Virginia (1956), Hawaii (1970), and New Jersey (1972).
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