Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Close Shaves
When the 2020 vote is certified, new records for the closest presidential election will have been set in two states. Joe Biden’s victory margin over Donald Trump in Arizona currently rests at 0.31 points – well below the previous mark set 56 years ago when native son Barry Goldwater defeated President Lyndon Johnson by 0.99…
Read MoreA Key(stone) Flip
For the third time in state history, Pennsylvania was the state with the largest number of Electoral College votes to flip in a presidential election. The Keystone State also held that mark in 1860 (with 27 EV) when it flipped from Democrat to Republican backing Abraham Lincoln after James Buchanan in 1856 and in 1936…
Read MoreJoe Biden Is the 35th Candidate to Set a Presidential Popular Vote Record
A new popular vote record has been set in 70 percent of presidential elections since 1824.
Read MoreThe Partisan Winds Blow in One Direction in Presidential Elections
Trump’s inability to turn a single state from blue to red in 2020 should come as little surprise in the wake of Biden’s inroads.
Read MoreBiden Wins Presidency With Record-Tying Low of Four Midwestern States
Overall even victorious Democratic nominees have barely carried a majority of states in the 12-state region.
Read MoreMinnesota’s US Senate Election At a Glance
Only six other U.S. Senate contests were more closely decided in Gopher State history.
Read MoreMinnesota’s Presidential Election At a Glance
Biden’s victory margin mirrors how previous Democratic nominees have fared during the party’s long winning streak.
Read MoreThe Biggest Partisan Presidential Blowouts In All 50 States
Will any state Democratic or Republican records fall in the 2020 cycle?
Read MoreNorth Carolina: The Perennial US Senate Battleground
The Tar Heel State has reliably served up competitive races for the nation’s upper legislative chamber more than any other state for decades.
Read MoreKansans Witnessing Rare Competitive US Senate Race
The Sunflower State has the third longest drought in the nation since the last time it hosted a U.S. Senate election decided by single digits.
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