Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Evan McMullin Could Set Mark for Weakest National Popular Vote by Candidate to Win a State
The independent presidential hopeful is on the ballot in only 11 states, but could shatter a record if he wins Utah.
Read MoreMurkowski Could Become 1st US Senator with Three Plurality Victories
An 11th hour campaign by Joe Miller may keep the popular Alaska Republican from winning over a majority of voters for a third consecutive cycle.
Read MoreIs Rob Portman Still Underperforming vis-à-vis Trump in Ohio?
The first term U.S. Senator is enjoying a comfortable lead in the polls, but modern political history suggests he should be doing even better.
Read MoreWith Joe Heck Victory Nevada GOP Would Hold All Statewide Offices for 1st Time Since 1870
Retiring U.S. Senator Harry Reid is the only Democrat to hold one of Nevada’s eight partisan statewide offices.
Read MoreDemocrats Could Notch Best Gubernatorial Election Cycle in Party History
If a handful of toss-up races all end up in the Democratic column, the party will have its strongest showing in races for governor since its formation nearly 190 years ago.
Read MoreWill Democrats Sweep the Northeast Yet Again?
The 11 Northeastern states could tie the nation’s all-time regional mark for the most consecutive cycles backing a political party’s presidential nominee.
Read MoreWill Wisconsin Follow Iowa’s Trump Surge?
The two Midwestern states have voted in unison in presidential elections nearly 90 percent of the time.
Read MoreRematches Abound in 2016 US House Elections
Nearly five-dozen U.S. House races in 2016 involve the same two major party candidates from 2014 including one matchup in Missouri with nominees squaring off for the sixth consecutive cycle.
Read MorePlurality Bites: Majorities in Many States Won’t Vote for Their Electoral College Winner
Since 1828, one in six states have cast their Electoral College votes for a candidate who failed to win the support of 50 percent of voters in their state.
Read More28 Going On 29?
The DFL is eying Minnesota Erik Paulsen’s 3rd CD seat in November, but the Republican U.S. Representative has a lot of electoral history on his side. The western suburban district has voted GOP in each of the last 28 cycles since 1960 – the longest Republican congressional winning streak ever in Minnesota. The party previously…
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