Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
John Conyers Wins Renomination by Narrowest Margin of Congressional Career
The 87-year old Democrat is still on track to become the second longest-serving member of the U.S. House in history during the 115th Congress.
Read MoreGreitens Wins Most Divided GOP Gubernatorial Primary in Missouri History
Greitens moves on to the general election with the lowest support ever recorded by a major party gubernatorial nominee in Missouri across 56 primary contests.
Read MoreTim Huelskamp Braces for Rare Primary Loss in Kansas
Kansas U.S. Representatives have lost just 1 of 103 primaries since 1964 and only 10 of 289 since primaries began in 1908.
Read MoreGwen Graham Would Be Rare Female Governor from Parental Political Royalty
Only one female governor in history was the daughter of a governor and only a few others had parents serve at any level of elected office.
Read MoreBill Clinton Was Not the Youngest Ex-Governor in History
Contrary to what he said during his DNC speech Tuesday, the former Arkansas governor did not even rank in the Top 10 youngest ex-governors when he lost his 1980 election bid.
Read MoreWasserman Schultz Could Become 2nd Party Leader to Lose Chair, Reelection in Same Year
It has been 150 years since the last time a sitting elected official lost their seat and saw their chairmanship end in the same year.
Read MoreStealing Thunder: Will the Democratic Convention Blunt the ‘Trump Bounce?’
Across the last 20 cycles since 1936 there has been no positive correlation connecting shorter gaps between conventions and the president’s party holding the White House that November.
Read MoreDo Vice-Presidential Nominees Carry Their Home States?
Since 1828, just a shade over half of major party presidential tickets won the home state of their VP nominees; one-quarter were not even able to hold the state after winning it during the previous cycle.
Read MoreGrassley Not Yet Out to Pasture
Iowa Republican Chuck Grassley may be facing his most competitive reelection bid of his U.S. Senate career, but he is still favored to win a seventh term against Democratic nominee Patty Judge. Just 15 U.S. Senators have won seven terms during the direct election era including Mississippi Republican Thad Cochran in 2014. [A 16th, Wyoming…
Read MoreOne and Done?
Fifteen first-term U.S. Senators are running for reelection this cycle (excluding Illinois Republican Mark Kirk who served a shade over a month in 2010 after winning special and general elections that November). Many of these incumbents are facing grim to uncertain prospects for winning a second term and history suggests at least one will be…
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