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Arkansas

Libertarians Notch Record-Setting Cycle in 2014 US Senate Elections

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 16, 2015 | 0

Nominees from the nation’s largest third party set records in 10 states last cycle for the largest support ever recorded in a U.S. Senate election.

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Will a Freshman US Representative Win a Senate Seat in 2016?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 17, 2014 | 2

Tom Cotton and Steve Daines became two of just 19 House freshmen to be elected to the Senate over the last century; will a new freshman risk his or her seat to do the same in two years?

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Mark Pryor Loss Makes US Senate History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 5, 2014 | 0

Pryor is the first of 89 U.S. Senators to lose a general election coming off a victory in which there was no major party opponent on the ballot.

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Media Analysis: Iowa US Senate Race Is 2014’s True Toss-up

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 15, 2014 | 0

A study of 2014 U.S. Senate race ratings finds the odds of a pick-up in Iowa’s race between Bruce Braley and Joni Ernst are closer to 50-50 than any other contest in the country.

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Which US Senate Seats Will Flip in 2014? A Survey of Media Rankings

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 1, 2014 | 1

Media election forecasters can only agree on one slot of the Top 12 U.S. Senate seats most likely to change control after the November elections.

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Two and Done: Tim Griffin’s Abrupt Exit from the US House

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 22, 2013 | 0

89 percent of the 80 two-term Arkansas U.S. Representatives since statehood ran for a third term or higher office that cycle.

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Unusual Entrances: Clergymen Turned US Senators

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 4, 2013 | 0

North Carolina’s Mark Harris is trying to add his name to a list of less than two-dozen members of the clergy who have served in the Senate in U.S. history and only three who were elected to the chamber since the turn of the 19th Century.

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Mark Pryor Could Face Historic Defeat in 2014

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 5, 2013 | 4

No incumbent U.S. Senator has lost a general election race coming off a victory in which he did not face a major party opponent.

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Tom Cotton’s Quandary: Can House Freshmen Win Senate Seats?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 20, 2013 | 0

Only 17 House freshmen have been elected to the Senate over the last century, and just two in the last 40 years.

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Duckworth, Castro Lead House Freshman Class in Early Media Buzz

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 5, 2013 | 0

While most new U.S. Representatives have lain low during their first month in office, a half-dozen freshmen have received more than half the media coverage of their entire class.

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