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Presidency

The Potential Pitfall of Selecting Sherrod Brown as Clinton’s VP

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 13, 2016 | 3

If Democrats win the White House and net just four U.S. Senate seats this November, they will lose their majority status in the chamber by January 20th should Clinton pick Brown, Cory Booker, or Elizabeth Warren as her running mate.

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Sanders Still Cruises in 2nd Most Competitive West Virginia Democratic Primary in History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 11, 2016 | 1

Sanders’ 15-point victory was the closest Democratic race in the Mountain State since before the Great Depression.

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Ted Cruz Records 8th Longest Losing GOP Presidential Bid in Modern Era

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 9, 2016 | 0

The Texas U.S. Senator was the first Republican in and nearly the last one out, notching a rare failed campaign of more than 400 days.

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Is 1,237 An Elusive Number?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | May 1, 2016 | 2

The magic number of the 2016 cycle may at times seem out of reach, but it is all around us – if you know where to look.

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Indiana Braces for Just 2nd Consequential GOP Presidential Primary Since 1956

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 27, 2016 | 3

Only one Indiana Republican primary has been decided by less than 40 points since the primary was restored in 1953.

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Could Rhode Island Host Its 1st Ever Competitive GOP Primary?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 24, 2016 | 1

No Republican presidential primary has been decided by less than 20 points in state history with winners landing north of 60 percent of the vote in every cycle.

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Wisconsin: The Nation’s Presidential Primary Bellwether Since 1972

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 4, 2016 | 2

Wisconsin is the only state to back the eventual nominee from both parties in every cycle since 1972, save for a non-binding Democratic beauty contest primary in 1984.

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Is the 2016 Democratic Race Really Less Competitive Than 2008?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 31, 2016 | 2

Delegate counts obscure the fact that Sanders has won more states than Clinton did in 2008 among the 32 to hold primaries and caucuses thus far in 2016; 15 states have been more closely decided than eight years ago.

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Will the 2016 GOP Nominee Pick a Rival Candidate for VP?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 28, 2016 | 2

Only once over the last 60+ years has the Republican Party nominated a failed presidential candidate from that cycle for vice president.

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Primary Wins Are Not Predictive of General Election Success (Part II, the Democrats)

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 22, 2016 | 1

Obama, Kerry, and Bill Clinton all performed as well or better in the general election in states they lost during the primaries versus those they won

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