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Ohio

Which States Are Bellwethers for Partisan Control of the US Senate?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 1, 2014 | 0

Two states – Rhode Island and Nevada – have elected U.S. Senators into the majority party of the subsequent Congress 75+ percent of the time over the last 100 years; Virginia has done so in each of the last six elections.

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Will 2016 GOP Convention Boost Nominee in Host City’s State?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 3, 2014 | 0

Republican presidential nominees have averaged a 1-point decline in the convention host state’s adjusted margin of victory (or loss) vis-à-vis the national vote compared to the previous election cycle since the first televised convention in 1940.

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Obama’s America: State References in SOTU Addresses

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 31, 2014 | 0

When searching for episodic examples to bolster his policies in SOTU addresses, the president turns to the battleground states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Ohio more than any other.

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Plurality Blues: Governors on the Hot Seat

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 18, 2013 | 2

Since 1900, less than half of plurality-winning governors who were eligible for another term were reelected to their seat in the next cycle.

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Unusual Entrances: Clergymen Turned US Senators

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 4, 2013 | 0

North Carolina’s Mark Harris is trying to add his name to a list of less than two-dozen members of the clergy who have served in the Senate in U.S. history and only three who were elected to the chamber since the turn of the 19th Century.

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Presidential Commencement Addresses: Notre Dame Reigns

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 27, 2013 | 0

Ohio State will host its third commencement address by a sitting president this spring, but that’s only half the number tallied by Notre Dame.

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Strickland Out in 2014 Following 2nd Biggest Incumbent Tumble in Ohio History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 10, 2013 | 0

Only one other governor has suffered a bigger decline in support in a reelection bid than Strickland in 2010 out of 40 such gubernatorial incumbents since the birth of the two-party system 180+ years ago.

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Ohio: The Nation’s Battleground Since 1828

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 28, 2012 | 0

Ohio has been the most politically divided state in the country in presidential elections for the last 184 years – boasting the lowest average victory margin and the largest number and percentage of races decided by less than five points.

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Ohio: Gerrymandering 1, Obama Coattails 0

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 26, 2012 | 0

With only four Democratic U.S. Representatives elected from Ohio in 2012, the Buckeye State is sending the smallest number and percentage of allies of a newly-elected president to D.C. in state history.

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Death of the Battlegrounds? The 2012 Election in History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 19, 2012 | 2

The 2012 presidential election is the only cycle since the birth of the two-party system in 1828 to be decided by less than 15 points nationally and yet have less than 10 percent of its contests decided by fewer than five points.

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