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Archive for 2011

Significant Partisan Shift Likely in 2012 US House Races

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 18, 2011 | 1

Redistricting cycles have seen the greatest net partisan advantage change in the US House over the last 100 years compared to election years ending in 0, 4, 6, or 8.

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Ex-Pawlenty Supporter Hubbard Has Given Thousands to Bachmann (and Democrats) Over the Years

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 17, 2011 | 0

The Hubbard Broadcasting head and his wife have donated significantly to Michele Bachmann and Democratic candidates over recent election cycles.

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Pawlenty Defeats Klobuchar? Don’t Hold Your Breath

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 16, 2011 | 4

Sitting or former Minnesota governors have lost 11 of 12 U.S. Senate campaigns since popular vote elections were introduced 100 years ago.

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Pawlenty’s Exit is Quickest in History Among 3rd Place Iowa Straw Poll Candidates

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 15, 2011 | 0

The swiftest previous departure from the GOP nomination race for a third-place finisher at Ames was 67 days after the Straw Poll.

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How Many GOP Presidential Candidates Will Drop Out Before the Iowa Caucuses?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 11, 2011 | 0

A Top 5 finish at the Iowa Straw Poll is often not enough to sustain a presidential campaign even to the end of the year.

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Wisconsin Recall Vote Turnout Nearly 90 Percent of 2010 Levels

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 10, 2011 | 0

Turnout across six recall elections Tuesday was just 40,000 votes shy of top of the ticket voting in 2010’s gubernatorial race.

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Can Democrats Pick Up Three Wisconsin Senate Seats?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 9, 2011 | 0

Democrats have recorded cycle-to-cycle gains of three or more Badger State Senate seats just 10 times over the last 64 election cycles since the mid-1880s.

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What Happened to $5 per Gallon Gasoline?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 8, 2011 | 0

Despite dire predictions, the average price of gasoline in the US has not yet even hit $4.00 per gallon this year.

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Could Amy Klobuchar Win 60 percent of the Vote in 2012?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 3, 2011 | 1

Only two Democratic Senate candidates in Minnesota have ever reached the 60 percent mark in state history.

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Debt Deal Senate Vote: The Divided Republican Caucus

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 2, 2011 | 0

Although nearly 60 percent of Republicans in the U.S. Senate supported the deficit- and debt-reduction deal on Tuesday, there was one glaring splinter in its caucus. Of the 13 Republican Senators that began their terms this year, nine voted against…

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