Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier
Will a Libertarian Tilt Missouri’s U.S. Senate Race?
The victory margin in only 1 of 37 Missouri U.S. Senate races has been narrower than the vote received by the leading third place candidate.
Read MoreBattleground State Maps Expand Slightly from a Month Ago
The selection of Paul Ryan as GOP VP nominee moves the needle on Wisconsin but few other states in the presidential race according to a dozen media outlets.
Read MoreThird Parties Vanish from Minnesota’s 2012 US House Races
There are 11 fewer independent and third party candidates running for Minnesota’s eight congressional seats in 2012 compared to two years ago.
Read MoreMichelle Obama’s DNC Speech Written at 7 Grade Levels Above Ann Romney’s
The First Lady’s speech Tuesday was written at a 12th grade level – the highest in history among the wives of presidential nominees and far above Ann Romney’s lowest mark of a 5th grade level.
Read MoreSchizophrenic Electorates or Short Obama Coattails? D/R Split Ticket Voting in 2012
Connecticut, Michigan, Nevada, Virginia, and Wisconsin are five of 18 states never to split their ticket by voting for a Democratic presidential nominee and a Republican U.S. Senate candidate in the same cycle.
Read MoreAnn Romney and the Politics of Family
Only one other national convention speech by a presidential nominee’s wife in history has incorporated as many family unit buzzwords as Ann Romney Tuesday evening (Hillary Clinton, 1996).
Read MoreAnn Romney Sets the Mark
At 2,330 words, Ann Romney’s speech Tuesday evening was the longest of the 10 prepared remarks delivered by wives of presidential nominees in DNC and RNC history (longest in written form – putting aside delivery/laughter/applause etc.). That eclipses Laura Bush’s…
Read MoreIs Connecticut a Battleground State?
A third consecutive poll finds Mitt Romney within single digits of the president in the Nutmeg State.
Read MoreChanging Tides? GOP Eyes Rare Majority Control of Upper Midwest Senate Delegation
After November, Democrats in the five-state Upper Midwest region could control less than half of the 10 U.S. Senate seats for only the 4th time in 50 Years.
Read MoreRNC: No Rick Scott, No Problem
National political conventions have been frequently held in states in which the sitting governor does not attend (though usually a governor from the opposing party).
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