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Connecticut

Warren, Brown VP Pick Could Create Rare Vacancy

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 19, 2016 | 1

Only five out of nearly 200 U.S. Senate vacancies since 1913 were caused by a voluntary resignation that resulted in a change in partisan control of the seat.

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Pat Toomey: Last of the “Bork 8” Seats to Flip in 2016?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 18, 2016 | 2

Eight U.S. Senators went against the majority of their party during the controversial 1987 Robert Bork confirmation vote; seven of their seats have since flipped for good in subsequent elections.

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What Are Richard Blumenthal’s Reelection Odds?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | September 11, 2015 | 2

Even with a strong GOP U.S. Senate challenger, a win by the 2016 Democratic presidential nominee at the top of the ticket should seal the deal for a second Blumenthal term.

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One and Done? Losing Female US Senate Nominees Rarely Get 2nd Chance

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | July 1, 2015 | 0

Only six defeated female U.S. Senate nominees have subsequently appeared on a general election ballot; no defeated female U.S. Senator has yet tried.

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Democrats Claim Connecticut’s Longest Partisan US House Streak in 100+ Years

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 5, 2014 | 1

Connecticut Democratic U.S. House candidates have now won 20 elections in a row – the most by either party in the state since 1908.

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No Wiggle Room: The 2014 Gubernatorial Elections Are Lousy with Toss-ups

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 27, 2014 | 1

The eight tightest gubernatorial races in the country all involve incumbents and the 2014 cycle could yield the most gubernatorial races decided by less than a point since at least 1900.

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Which States Have the Highest Gubernatorial Reelection Rates?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 25, 2014 | 0

Six states have not seen a governor lose a reelection bid over the last half century with Vermont and Connecticut boasting the most impressive incumbency advantage resumés.

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Foley vs Malloy II? A History of Connecticut Gubernatorial Rematches

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 30, 2014 | 0

It has been 72 years since the last time a gubernatorial candidate was victorious in a rematch election in the Nutmeg State; only two have had the opportunity since.

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Plurality Blues: Governors on the Hot Seat

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 18, 2013 | 2

Since 1900, less than half of plurality-winning governors who were eligible for another term were reelected to their seat in the next cycle.

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Which States Have the Highest Rates of Female Gubernatorial Nominees?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 28, 2013 | 1

Western states dominate the top of the list, with Alaska, Arizona, Hawaii, Nevada, Washington, and Wyoming all in the Top 10.

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