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U.S. House

Will Arizona’s 8th CD Special Election Provide a Rare April Upset?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 23, 2018 | 0

Over the last 75+ years, April has hosted more special elections than any month outside of November; only six of the previous 44 specials flipped control of the seat.

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Wisconsin Hosts Open Seat US House Election for Historic 5th Straight Cycle

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 17, 2018 | 0

Prior to this current streak, the state had not endured more than three consecutive cycles with an open seat during the primary era.

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A Review of US House Speakers by State

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 12, 2018 | 3

The 54 speakers in U.S. history have come from less than two-dozen states, with speakers from five states collectively accounting for more than half the time in office.

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Can Republicans Pick Up Elizabeth Esty’s US House Seat?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 3, 2018 | 3

Democrats are riding a 25-seat winning streak in Connecticut – the third best run for the party across the country over the last half-century.

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How Often Do Parties Flip US House Seats in Specials Where They Previously Did Not Field a Candidate?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 14, 2018 | 0

With Lamb’s win, eight out of the last 26 U.S. House seats to flip have been in districts where the winning party did not recruit a nominee during the most recent election cycle.

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2020 Midwestern Reapportionment Preview

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 4, 2018 | 0

The 12-state region will see its collective delegation decrease in size for the 10th consecutive decade, although at its lowest rate in a half-century.

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Minnesota Congressional Retirements: When It Rains, It Pours

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 27, 2018 | 1

Minnesota Democrats will have two open U.S. House seats for the first time in party history this cycle, but the state is no stranger to multiple retirements.

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Could Minnesota Democrats Notch Their Best Ever Election Cycle in 2018?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 23, 2018 | 2

They will…if they hold all statewide offices, pick up the state house, and win a sixth congressional seat.

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Marsha Blackburn and a Review of Tennessee US Reps Running for Senate

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 16, 2018 | 1

Sitting and ex-Tennessee U.S. Representatives have been victorious in eight of 22 U.S. Senate bids over the last century.

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Minnesota Media Coverage of Latest Keith Ellison/Louis Farrakhan News Lags

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 12, 2018 | 1

A Wall Street Journal column about Ellison’s attendance with the Nation of Islam leader at a 2013 dinner hosted by the President of Iran is not exactly making the rounds in the Gopher State.

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Minnesota Historical Election Archive

Explore over 160 years of election results in Minnesota

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