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Ohio

Could Dayton Be the Lone Democratic Victor in 2014 Midwestern Gubernatorial Races?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | June 30, 2014 | 0
Photo of Minnesota Governor Mark Dayton

At least one other Midwestern state has voted a Democrat into office each of the 15 times Minnesotans have elected a Democratic governor since statehood.

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Can Democrats Knock Out Kasich in Ohio?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 11, 2014 | 0
Photo of Ohio Governor John Kasich

The 40 percent rate at which Ohio Democrats have won the governorship with a Democrat in the White House over the last century is good for third best in the Midwest – but it hasn’t happened since 1952.

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Which States Are Bellwethers for Partisan Control of the US Senate?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | April 1, 2014 | 0
Official seal of the State of Rhode Island

Two states – Rhode Island and Nevada – have elected U.S. Senators into the majority party of the subsequent Congress 75+ percent of the time over the last 100 years; Virginia has done so in each of the last six elections.

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Will 2016 GOP Convention Boost Nominee in Host City’s State?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | March 3, 2014 | 0
Republican National Committee logo

Republican presidential nominees have averaged a 1-point decline in the convention host state’s adjusted margin of victory (or loss) vis-à-vis the national vote compared to the previous election cycle since the first televised convention in 1940.

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Obama’s America: State References in SOTU Addresses

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 31, 2014 | 0
Photo of President Barack Obama

When searching for episodic examples to bolster his policies in SOTU addresses, the president turns to the battleground states of North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Ohio more than any other.

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Plurality Blues: Governors on the Hot Seat

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 18, 2013 | 2
Photo of Florida Governor Rick Scott

Since 1900, less than half of plurality-winning governors who were eligible for another term were reelected to their seat in the next cycle.

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Unusual Entrances: Clergymen Turned US Senators

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | October 4, 2013 | 0
Photo of North Carolina Baptist pastor and Republican Mark Harris

North Carolina’s Mark Harris is trying to add his name to a list of less than two-dozen members of the clergy who have served in the Senate in U.S. history and only three who were elected to the chamber since the turn of the 19th Century.

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Presidential Commencement Addresses: Notre Dame Reigns

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | February 27, 2013 | 0
Photo of President Barack Obama

Ohio State will host its third commencement address by a sitting president this spring, but that’s only half the number tallied by Notre Dame.

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Strickland Out in 2014 Following 2nd Biggest Incumbent Tumble in Ohio History

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | January 10, 2013 | 0
Photo of Ohio Governor Ted Strickland

Only one other governor has suffered a bigger decline in support in a reelection bid than Strickland in 2010 out of 40 such gubernatorial incumbents since the birth of the two-party system 180+ years ago.

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Ohio: The Nation’s Battleground Since 1828

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | November 28, 2012 | 0
Ohio state flag

Ohio has been the most politically divided state in the country in presidential elections for the last 184 years – boasting the lowest average victory margin and the largest number and percentage of races decided by less than five points.

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