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Political Analysis By and Beyond the Numbers Since 2006

Founded and Authored by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

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Posts by Dr. Eric Ostermeier

GOP Aims to Hold All North Dakota Seats on Capitol Hill for 1st Time in Over 50 Years

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 22, 2011 | 1
Photo of North Dakota U.S. Senator John Hoeven

Republicans last held all of North Dakota’s U.S. Senate and House seats in January 1959.

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Ron Paul Polling 10x Stronger in August 2011 vs August 2007

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 19, 2011 | 1

Although he has been (famously) ignored by much of the media during the 2012 election cycle (vis-à-vis his relative standing in the GOP field), Texas congressman and presidential candidate Ron Paul is polling at approximately 10 percent in the race…

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Significant Partisan Shift Likely in 2012 US House Races

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 18, 2011 | 1
Photo of Ohio U.S. Representative John Boehner

Redistricting cycles have seen the greatest net partisan advantage change in the US House over the last 100 years compared to election years ending in 0, 4, 6, or 8.

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Ex-Pawlenty Supporter Hubbard Has Given Thousands to Bachmann (and Democrats) Over the Years

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 17, 2011 | 0
Photo of Minnesota U.S. Representative Michele Bachmann

The Hubbard Broadcasting head and his wife have donated significantly to Michele Bachmann and Democratic candidates over recent election cycles.

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Pawlenty Defeats Klobuchar? Don’t Hold Your Breath

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 16, 2011 | 4
Photo of Minnesota U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar

Sitting or former Minnesota governors have lost 11 of 12 U.S. Senate campaigns since popular vote elections were introduced 100 years ago.

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Pawlenty’s Exit is Quickest in History Among 3rd Place Iowa Straw Poll Candidates

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 15, 2011 | 0
Photo of Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty

The swiftest previous departure from the GOP nomination race for a third-place finisher at Ames was 67 days after the Straw Poll.

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How Many GOP Presidential Candidates Will Drop Out Before the Iowa Caucuses?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 11, 2011 | 0
Photo of Michigan U.S. Representative Thaddeus McCotter

A Top 5 finish at the Iowa Straw Poll is often not enough to sustain a presidential campaign even to the end of the year.

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Wisconsin Recall Vote Turnout Nearly 90 Percent of 2010 Levels

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 10, 2011 | 0
Photo of Wisconsin State Senator Sheila Harsdorf

Turnout across six recall elections Tuesday was just 40,000 votes shy of top of the ticket voting in 2010’s gubernatorial race.

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Can Democrats Pick Up Three Wisconsin Senate Seats?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 9, 2011 | 0
Official seal of the State of Wisconsin

Democrats have recorded cycle-to-cycle gains of three or more Badger State Senate seats just 10 times over the last 64 election cycles since the mid-1880s.

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What Happened to $5 per Gallon Gasoline?

By Dr. Eric Ostermeier | August 8, 2011 | 0
Photo of President Barack Obama

Despite dire predictions, the average price of gasoline in the US has not yet even hit $4.00 per gallon this year.

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